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Leonardo Martínez, Nathalie Pouokam, Mumtaz Hussain, Vivian Norambuena, Charis Christofides, Anna Corcuera, and Modeste Somé

Le Cadre de viabilité de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu (CVD PFR) a été créé par le FMI et la Banque mondiale en vue d’aider les pays à faible revenu à atteindre leurs objectifs de développement, tout en limitant les risques de surendettement. Ce cours en un module vous permettra de comprendre le CVD PFR, et donc d’interpréter les résultats du CVD PFR présentés dans les rapports de la Banque mondiale et du FMI. Le cours présente les différentes étapes du CVD PFR. Dans un premier temps, nous déterminerons quelles données sont nécessaires et passerons en revue les « outils de réalisme » utilisés pour évaluer la plausibilité des projections macroéconomiques. Vous découvrirez ensuite comment la capacité d’endettement d’un pays est calculée dans le CVD PFR afin de déterminer des seuils pour les indicateurs d’endettement. Lorsqu’un indicateur d’endettement dépasse son seuil dans le scénario de référence ou les scénarios de test de résilience, cela signale un risque de surendettement. À la fin du cours, nous déterminerons comment recourir au jugement pour aboutir à une notation finale du risque.

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Le Cadre de viabilité de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu (CVD PFR) a été créé par le FMI et la Banque mondiale en vue d’aider les pays à faible revenu à atteindre leurs objectifs de développement, tout en limitant les risques de surendettement. Ce cours en un module vous permettra de comprendre le CVD PFR, et donc d’interpréter les résultats du CVD PFR présentés dans les rapports de la Banque mondiale et du FMI. Le cours présente les différentes étapes du CVD PFR. Dans un premier temps, nous déterminerons quelles données sont nécessaires et passerons en revue les « outils de réalisme » utilisés pour évaluer la plausibilité des projections macroéconomiques. Vous découvrirez ensuite comment la capacité d’endettement d’un pays est calculée dans le CVD PFR afin de déterminer des seuils pour les indicateurs d’endettement. Lorsqu’un indicateur d’endettement dépasse son seuil dans le scénario de référence ou les scénarios de test de résilience, cela signale un risque de surendettement. À la fin du cours, nous déterminerons comment recourir au jugement pour aboutir à une notation finale du risque.

What you'll learn

Ce que vous apprendrez ****

À la fin de ce cours, vous devriez pouvoir :

  • Déterminer quelles données sont nécessaires pour l’utilisation du modèle de CVD PFR.
  • Comprendre les étapes de l’élaboration des notations du risque dans le CVD PFR.
  • Comprendre les outils de réalisme du CVD PFR.
  • Interpréter les scénarios de test de résilience du CVD PFR.
  • Comprendre comment le CVD PFR calcule les seuils pour les indicateurs d’endettement.
  • Interpréter les résultats de l’analyse de la viabilité de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu, tels que présentés dans les rapports de la Banque mondiale et du FMI.

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Adapté aux économistes souhaitant comprendre les concepts du Cadre de viabilité de la dette (CVD) pour les pays à faible revenu
Enseigné par des experts de la Banque mondiale et du FMI, Nathalie Pouokam, Leonardo Martínez, Mumtaz Hussain, Vivian Norambuena, Charis Christofides, Anna Corcuera et Modeste Somé
Développe la compréhension des outils de réalisme utilisés pour évaluer la plausibilité des projections macroéconomiques
Explore les scénarios de test de résilience du CVD et leur interprétation
Fournit des indications sur la façon d'utiliser le jugement pour aboutir à une notation finale du risque

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Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Le Cadre de viabilité de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu (CVD PFR) with these activities:
Review International Financial Institutions and their Role in Debt Management
Strengthen your understanding of the role of International Financial Institutions in managing debt.
Browse courses on Debt Management
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  • Review the mandates and operations of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank.
  • Read articles and reports on the role of these institutions in debt management.
  • Attend a webinar or online course on the topic.
Revise Quantitative Aptitude
Reinforce your Quantitative Aptitude skills to enhance your understanding of Debt Sustainability Analysis.
Browse courses on Mathematics
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  • Review basic arithmetic operations (addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division).
  • Practice solving algebraic equations and inequalities.
  • Review concepts of percentages, ratios, and proportions.
Explore Case Studies on Debt Sustainability
Gain practical insights into Debt Sustainability Analysis by examining real-world case studies.
Show steps
  • Find and read case studies on countries that have experienced debt problems.
  • Identify the factors that contributed to the debt problems.
  • Analyze the measures that were taken to address the debt problems.
Five other activities
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Practice Analyzing Debt Scenarios
Deepen your understanding of Debt Sustainability Analysis by practicing with various debt scenarios.
Show steps
  • Analyze historical debt data and identify trends.
  • Use Excel or other software to project future debt levels under different assumptions.
  • Interpret the results of your analysis and make recommendations.
Collaborate on Debt Sustainability Analysis Projects
Enhance your learning by collaborating with peers on Debt Sustainability Analysis projects.
Show steps
  • Form a study group with other students in the course.
  • Choose a debt sustainability analysis project to work on.
  • Divide the work among the group members.
  • Meet regularly to discuss your progress and findings.
Volunteer at a Debt Counseling Agency
Gain hands-on experience in Debt Sustainability Analysis by volunteering at a debt counseling agency.
Show steps
  • Find a local debt counseling agency that offers volunteer opportunities.
  • Contact the agency and inquire about volunteer positions.
  • Attend training provided by the agency.
  • Provide debt counseling services to clients.
Develop a Debt Sustainability Plan
Apply your knowledge of Debt Sustainability Analysis to create a comprehensive plan for managing debt.
Show steps
  • Identify the key risks to debt sustainability.
  • Develop strategies to mitigate the risks.
  • Create a plan for monitoring and evaluating debt sustainability.
Create a Comprehensive Resource Guide on Debt Sustainability
Consolidate your learning by creating a comprehensive resource guide on Debt Sustainability Analysis.
Show steps
  • Gather resources from various sources, including textbooks, articles, and online materials.
  • Organize the resources into a logical structure.
  • Write summaries and explanations of the key concepts.
  • Include references to the original sources.

Career center

Learners who complete Le Cadre de viabilité de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu (CVD PFR) will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Policy Analyst
As a Policy Analyst, you might be responsible for advising political leaders on policies that affect the economic well-being of countries. Understanding how to interpret and analyze a country's debt sustainability metrics would be key to your ability to make accurate and informed policy recommendations. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would give you the tools to effectively evaluate a country's debt sustainability and make informed recommendations to political leaders.
Economist
As an Economist, you would be responsible for analyzing economic data, forecasting trends, and developing economic models to help businesses and governments make informed decisions. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would equip you with the skills to evaluate a country's debt sustainability and understand the potential economic impacts of different debt scenarios. It can be an important tool for economists working in international development and economic policy.
Risk Analyst
As a Risk Analyst, you will need to identify and evaluate potential risks to a company's or organization's financial health. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course will equip you with the tools to analyze a country's debt sustainability and assess the risks associated with investing in that country. Understanding the potential impact of debt on a country's economy and financial stability is critical for effective risk management.
Credit Analyst
As a Credit Analyst, you will need to evaluate the creditworthiness of borrowers and assess the risk of default. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would provide you with the tools and knowledge to analyze a country's debt sustainability and determine its ability to repay its debts. This course can be a valuable asset for credit analysts working in international development and banking.
Development Consultant
As a Development Consultant, you will advise governments and organizations on economic development strategies. A deep understanding of countries' debt sustainability is essential for making informed decisions and ensuring that development efforts are sustainable. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would provide you with the knowledge to analyze debt sustainability, assess economic risks, and make effective recommendations to promote economic development.
Financial Analyst
In your role as a Financial Analyst, you will need to assess the financial health of companies and make recommendations on investments. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would provide you with the skills to analyze a country's debt sustainability and assess the risks associated with investing in that country. It will help you make informed recommendations and provide valuable insights to investors.
International Economist
As an International Economist, you will analyze global economic trends and their impact on economies worldwide. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would provide you with in-depth knowledge of how to assess a country's debt sustainability and its implications for the global economy. This course can be a valuable asset for economists working in international organizations and research institutions.
Investment Banker
As an Investment Banker, you will need to understand the debt markets and make recommendations on investment strategies. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course can be a valuable asset, providing you with the knowledge to analyze a country's debt sustainability and assess the risks and opportunities associated with investing in that country.
Loan Officer
As a Loan Officer, you will need to evaluate the creditworthiness of borrowers and make lending decisions. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would provide you with the skills and knowledge to analyze a country's debt sustainability and assess its ability to repay its debts. This course can be particularly useful for loan officers working in international development and microfinance.
Budget Analyst
As a Budget Analyst, you will need to develop and analyze budgets to ensure efficient use of financial resources. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course would provide you with the skills and knowledge to understand a country's debt sustainability and its impact on the budget. This course can be particularly useful for budget analysts working in governments and international organizations.
Auditor
As an Auditor, you will need to evaluate the financial statements of companies and organizations to ensure accuracy and compliance with regulations. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course can provide valuable knowledge for auditors working in international development and public finance. It will help you understand the implications of debt sustainability on a country's financial health and enable you to provide more comprehensive audit reports.
Management Consultant
As a Management Consultant, you will advise businesses and organizations on various aspects of their operations, including financial management. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course can provide you with valuable knowledge about assessing a country's debt sustainability and its impact on businesses. This knowledge can help you provide more informed advice to clients and develop effective strategies for managing financial risks.
Data Analyst
As a Data Analyst, you will collect, analyze, and interpret data to identify trends and patterns. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course can provide you with specialized knowledge in analyzing debt sustainability data. This knowledge can be valuable for data analysts working in international development and economic research, enabling you to contribute to informed decision-making and policy formulation.
Research Analyst
As a Research Analyst, you will conduct research and analysis on various topics, including economics and finance. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course can provide you with specialized knowledge in analyzing debt sustainability issues. This knowledge can be valuable for research analysts working in international development and economic policy, enabling you to conduct in-depth research and contribute to evidence-based policymaking.
Journalist
As a Journalist, you will report on events and issues that impact society. The **Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries (DSF LIC)** course can provide you with specialized knowledge in understanding and reporting on debt sustainability issues. This knowledge can be valuable for journalists covering economic and development issues, enabling you to provide informed analysis and contribute to public awareness about the importance of debt sustainability.

Reading list

We've selected nine books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Le Cadre de viabilité de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu (CVD PFR).
Ce livre permet de bien comprendre les mécanismes de la dette des pays en développement et les risques associés.
Ce livre permet de bien comprendre les enjeux de l'allègement de la dette pour les pays à faible revenu.
Ce livre permet de mettre en perspective historique les enjeux de la dette et du développement.
Ce livre permet de mettre en perspective les enjeux de la dette dans une perspective de développement économique.
Ce livre fournit une critique virulente du rôle du FMI dans la gestion de la dette des pays en développement.

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