Pronóstico y Análisis de los Ingresos Públicos (RFAx) from edX

El pronóstico de los ingresos públicos se refiere al uso de técnicas de análisis para producir estimaciones de futuras entradas financieras para el gobierno. Es sumamente importante para los legisladores, ya que los ayuda a trazar las políticas públicas adecuadas y a planificar los programas de gastos en función de dichos ingresos proyectados. Si bien los gobiernos obtienen ingresos de distintas fuentes, los impuestos en general son el mecanismo principal de financiación. Por lo tanto, este curso se enfoca en el pronóstico y análisis de los ingresos tributarios.

Primero señalamos los lugares en los que se puede acceder a los datos y lo guiamos sobre cómo evaluar la calidad de sus datos. Luego pasamos a técnicas de pronósticos generales. Aplicamos estas técnicas para pronosticar los ítems principales de ingresos tributarios, como los impuestos al valor agregado, derechos de importación, impuestos selectivos, impuestos sobre la renta de las personas físicas e impuestos sobre la renta de las personas jurídicas. Este curso también brinda una introducción sobre las técnicas que pueden utilizarse para estimar los efectos recaudatorios de reformas tributarias y su impacto distributivo.

What you'll learn

Al completar el curso, los participantes podrán hacer lo siguiente:

1. Analizar los principios y tendencias fundamentales del análisis de ingresos tributarios.

2. Explicar las principales características de un marco institucional efectivo para el proceso de pronóstico de los ingresos públicos.

3. Identificar los requisitos de datos y reconocer los posibles problemas con estos datos.

4. Producir pronósticos de ingresos públicos mediante distintos métodos.

5. Reconocer las fortalezas y las limitaciones de los distintos métodos de pronóstico.

6. Cuantificar el impacto recaudatorio de reformas tributarias, mediante las matrices insumo-producto y los modelos de microsimulación.

Good to know

Know what's good

, what to watch for

, and possible dealbreakers

El curso aborda la previsión de ingresos fiscales, un aspecto crucial para los encargados de formular políticas públicas en la planificación de los gastos públicos

Contribuye al análisis y la previsión de los principales conceptos de ingresos fiscales, como el IVA, los derechos de importación y los impuestos sobre la renta

Proporciona orientación sobre la evaluación de la calidad de los datos, un aspecto fundamental para la fiabilidad de las previsiones

Aborda las técnicas de previsión de ingresos fiscales, lo que permite a los estudiantes desarrollar habilidades prácticas

Incluye una introducción a las técnicas utilizadas para estimar los efectos recaudatorios de las reformas tributarias

Presenta las fortalezas y limitaciones de los métodos de previsión, lo que ayuda a los estudiantes a tomar decisiones informadas

Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Pronóstico y Análisis de los Ingresos Públicos (RFAx) with these activities:

Review Prerequisites

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Brings students foundational understanding of the subject to ensure that key course concepts can be mastered more quickly.

Browse courses on Public Finance

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Review the syllabus and readings for the first 2 to 3 modules of the course.
Do a quick self-assessment of your understanding of the topics covered.
Identify any areas where you feel you need additional review.

Work through a Statistics Refresher

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Refreshes students' knowledge of statistics, which is essential for understanding and using revenue forecasting techniques.

Browse courses on Revenue Forecasting

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Find a statistics refresher course or tutorial online or at your local library.
Work through the refresher material and make sure you understand the concepts.
Take a practice quiz or test to assess your understanding.

Practice Forecasting

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Strengthens student's ability to understand and apply forecasting techniques, specifically related to revenue forecasting.

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Use the data provided in the course to practice forecasting the different sources of tax revenue.
Evaluate the accuracy of your forecasts.
Repeat steps 1 and 2 until you are comfortable with the forecasting process.

Four other activities

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Volunteer with a Tax Preparation Organization

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Provides students with an opportunity to apply their knowledge of tax revenue forecasting in a real-world setting.

Browse courses on Revenue Forecasting

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Research tax preparation organizations that are operating in your area.
Apply to volunteer with an organization that you are interested in.
Help low-income taxpayers prepare their tax returns.

Create a Revenue Forecasting Model

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Enables students to apply what they've learned in the course to solve a real-world problem.

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Choose a revenue source that you are interested in forecasting.
Gather data on the historical values of the revenue source.
Use the data to develop a forecasting model.
Test the accuracy of your model using historical data.

Attend a Public Finance Conference

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Provides students with an opportunity to network with professionals in the field and learn about the latest trends in revenue forecasting.

Browse courses on Revenue Forecasting

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Research public finance conferences that are happening in your area.
Attend the conference and network with professionals in the field.
Learn about the latest trends in revenue forecasting.

Contribute to an Open Source Revenue Forecasting Project

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Allows students to gain hands-on experience with revenue forecasting and contribute to the development of an open-source forecasting tool.

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Find an open-source revenue forecasting project that you are interested in contributing to.
Contact the project maintainers and ask how you can contribute.
Contribute to the project according to the instructions from the maintainers.

Career center

Learners who complete Pronóstico y Análisis de los Ingresos Públicos (RFAx) will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:

Economic Researcher

An Economic Researcher conducts research on economic issues and trends. This course would be a great fit for someone aiming for this role, as it provides a comprehensive overview of the economic factors that influence government revenue and expenditure. The course also provides hands-on experience with forecasting techniques, which are essential for any Economic Researcher.

See salaries and explore the career path for Economic Researcher

Government Budget Analyst

A Government Budget Analyst develops and manages budgets for government agencies. This course would be an excellent fit for this role, as it provides a deep understanding of the government budgeting process. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

See salaries and explore the career path for Government Budget Analyst

Economist

An Economist studies economic data and trends, and uses this information to make predictions about the future. This course would be a great fit for someone aiming for this role, as it provides a comprehensive overview of the economic factors that influence government revenue and expenditure. The course also provides hands-on experience with forecasting techniques, which are essential for any Economist.

See salaries and explore the career path for Economist

Statistician

A Statistician collects, analyzes, and interprets data to provide insights and make predictions. This course would be a great fit for someone aiming for this role, as it provides a comprehensive overview of statistical techniques, including forecasting and modeling. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

See salaries and explore the career path for Statistician

Tax Auditor

A Tax Auditor examines tax returns to ensure that they are accurate and compliant with tax laws and regulations. This course would be an excellent fit for this role, as it provides a deep understanding of tax law and accounting principles. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Policy Analyst

A Policy Analyst develops and analyzes public policy. This course would be a great fit for someone aiming for this role, as it provides a comprehensive overview of the economic factors that influence government revenue and expenditure. The course also provides hands-on experience with forecasting techniques, which are essential for any Policy Analyst.

See salaries and explore the career path for Policy Analyst

Quantitative Analyst

A Quantitative Analyst uses mathematical and statistical techniques to analyze financial data and make investment decisions. This course would be a valuable asset to someone looking to work in this field, as it provides a strong foundation in financial analysis techniques. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

See salaries and explore the career path for Quantitative Analyst

Financial Analyst

A Financial Analyst analyzes financial data to make recommendations on investments and other financial decisions. This course would be a valuable asset to someone looking to work in this field, as it provides a strong foundation in financial analysis techniques. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Financial Advisor

A Financial Advisor provides advice and guidance to individuals and families on financial matters. This course would be a valuable asset to someone looking to work in this field, as it provides a strong foundation in financial analysis techniques. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Tax Analyst

A Tax Analyst analyzes tax laws and regulations to help businesses and individuals minimize their tax liability. This course would be a valuable asset to someone looking to work in this field, as it provides a strong foundation in tax law and accounting principles. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

See salaries and explore the career path for Tax Analyst

Risk Manager

A Risk Manager identifies and manages risks for businesses and organizations. This course may be useful for this role, as it provides a strong foundation in data analysis techniques, including forecasting and modeling. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

See salaries and explore the career path for Risk Manager

Market Research Analyst

A Market Research Analyst collects and analyzes data to understand consumer behavior and market trends. This course may be useful for this role, as it provides a strong foundation in data analysis techniques, including forecasting and modeling. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Data Analyst

A Data Analyst helps businesses make informed decisions by collecting, analyzing, and interpreting data. This course may be useful for this role, as it provides a strong foundation in data analysis techniques, including forecasting and modeling. This course also provides an introduction to econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Consultant

A Consultant provides advice and guidance to businesses and organizations on a variety of topics. This course may be useful for this role, as it provides a strong foundation in data analysis techniques, including forecasting and modeling. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Teacher

A Teacher develops and delivers lesson plans to students in a classroom setting. This course may be useful for this role, as it provides a strong foundation in data analysis techniques, including forecasting and modeling. The course also covers the basics of econometrics, which is a valuable tool for understanding and analyzing economic data.

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Pronóstico y Análisis de los Ingresos Públicos (RFAx)

What you'll learn

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