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Evan Tanner, Dimitre Milkov, Adolfo Barajas, Maksym Ivanyna, Mikhail Pranovich, Luciana Juvenal, and Younes Zouhar

Dans ce cours en ligne sur les diagnostics macroéconomiques (MDSx), vous apprendrez à vous servir de certains outils pratiques qui vous aideront à analyser la situation macroéconomique d’un pays. Ces outils d’analyse sont ceux que les spécialistes en macroéconomie appliquée utilisent le plus souvent, y compris au FMI. Vous apprendrez à appliquer ces outils techniques et à interpréter leurs résultats.

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Dans ce cours en ligne sur les diagnostics macroéconomiques (MDSx), vous apprendrez à vous servir de certains outils pratiques qui vous aideront à analyser la situation macroéconomique d’un pays. Ces outils d’analyse sont ceux que les spécialistes en macroéconomie appliquée utilisent le plus souvent, y compris au FMI. Vous apprendrez à appliquer ces outils techniques et à interpréter leurs résultats.

Ce cours passera en revue les différents secteurs de l’économie. Vous découvrirez les outils qui permettent d’évaluer un secteur particulier et ses vulnérabilités. Ces outils pratiques seront faciles à mettre en application et produiront des informations essentielles à l’évaluation qu’effectue un économiste.

Vous n’apprendrez pas seulement à utiliser ces outils, nous vous montrerons aussi comment peaufiner et interpréter leurs résultats. Nous ne nous contenterons pasde saisir des chiffres dans une formule sur Excel. Le but sera d’utiliser les résultats de ces outils et de faire un travail d’appréciation pour établir le bilan économique d’un pays.

Pour vous aider à comprendre l’utilité pratique des enseignements, vous réaliserez une étude de cas au cours de laquelle vous examinerez un pays appelé «Diagnostica». Nous parcourrons ensemble une série d’évaluations sectorielles. Pendant le cours, nous vous montrerons comment établir un diagnostic à l’aide de différents exemples de pays. Ensuite, nous serez appelés à effectuer le même exercice et à interpréter les résultats obtenus pour Diagnostica. Enfin, nous intégrerons les évaluations sectorielles dans une analyse complète appelée matrice d’évaluation des risques. Cela nous donnera un aperçu des principaux risques et faiblesses de Diagnostica.

Ce cours sur les diagnostics macroéconomiques est offert par le FMI avec le concours financier du Japon.

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What's inside

Learning objectives

  • Analyser la production potentielle et calculer les écarts de production, déterminer les composantes de dépenses de la croissance, mesurer l'inflation et évaluer les sources d'inflation
  • Évaluer l'orientation de la politique monétaire et budgétaire et interpréter les indicateurs de solidité du secteur financier et les indicateurs de risque
  • Analyser la viabilité de la dette publique et de la dette extérieure, examiner la position extérieure et évaluer le risque de désalignement du taux de change
  • Évaluer les perspectives de l’économie à moyen terme, notamment la viabilité de la dette publique et de la dette extérieure, et définir les obstacles à la croissance à long terme

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Développe des compétences et connaissances essentielles pour les économistes
Enseigné par des experts du FMI reconnus pour leur travail dans le domaine de la macroéconomie appliquée
Examine les perspectives économiques à moyen terme, y compris la viabilité de la dette publique et extérieure
Nécessite des connaissances préalables en macroéconomie
Enseigne des outils techniques, mais ne se concentre pas spécifiquement sur leur implémentation pratique

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Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Diagnostic macroéconomique with these activities:
Pratiquer l'utilisation de Microsoft Excel pour l'analyse économique
Cette activité vous aidera à renforcer vos compétences dans l'utilisation de Microsoft Excel pour l'analyse économique, ce qui vous permettra d'utiliser efficacement les outils du cours.
Browse courses on Microsoft Excel
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  • Suivre un tutoriel sur l'utilisation de Microsoft Excel pour l'analyse économique.
  • Créer des feuilles de calcul simples pour analyser des données économiques.
Lire "Principes de macroéconomie" de N. Gregory Mankiw
Ce livre fournit une introduction complète aux principes de la macroéconomie, ce qui vous aidera à mieux comprendre les concepts abordés dans le cours.
View Macroéconomie on Amazon
Show steps
  • Lire le chapitre sur la production potentielle et les écarts de production.
  • Lire le chapitre sur l'inflation et ses mesures.
Show all two activities

Career center

Learners who complete Diagnostic macroéconomique will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Macroeconomist
A Macroeconomist is someone who focuses on the health of an economy by observing economic factors such as the gross domestic product, inflation, changes in unemployment, and many more. This course may be helpful for a Macroeconomist because it will help them to understand the different sectors of the economy and how to evaluate a sector's vulnerabilities and strengths. This information would be particularly useful for the Macroeconomist to execute their job duties as they try to make the economy better.
Financial Analyst
A Financial Analyst spends their days analyzing financial data and making recommendations to clients based on their findings. They use their knowledge of economics, finance, and accounting to evaluate a company's financial stability, profitability, and investment potential. This course may be useful for a Financial Analyst because it would help build a foundation of knowledge in the area of macroeconomics. Macroeconomics is one of the foundational pillars of finance, as it can impact the performance of companies, industries, and even entire economies.
Economist
Economists conduct research that helps to explain and predict economic phenomena, such as inflation, unemployment, and economic growth. They use their understanding of economic principles to develop policies that promote economic growth and stability. This course may be helpful for an Economist as it will provide hands-on training in macroeconomic analysis. It will help to develop the skills needed to evaluate and interpret macroeconomic data and to make informed judgments about the economy.
Quantitative Analyst
A Quantitative Analyst, or Quant for short, is someone who uses mathematical and statistical modeling, coding, and other computational techniques to analyze and understand financial markets. While some work in academia, most Quants work for investment banks and hedge funds where they use their models to predict future market behavior. This course may be useful for a Quantitative Analyst because it will help to build a strong foundation in macroeconomics. This knowledge will be useful for building and validating the models that they use to make their predictions.
Actuary
Actuaries work to manage risk and uncertainty in the financial industry. They use mathematical and statistical techniques to assess and quantify the financial implications of future events, such as the likelihood of death, disability, or property damage. The course on diagnostic macroeconomics may be useful for someone who wants to become an actuary. The skills and knowledge taught in the course, such as the ability to analyze and interpret economic data, would be valuable for an actuary in assessing and quantifying risk.
Risk Manager
Risk managers identify, assess, and mitigate risks for businesses and organizations. They use their understanding of risk management principles to develop and implement plans that minimize the likelihood and impact of potential risks. This course may be useful for a Risk Manager because it provides hands-on training in macroeconomic analysis. This training will help to develop the skills needed to identify, assess, and mitigate macroeconomic risks.
Investment Banker
Investment bankers provide financial advisory and underwriting services to corporations, governments, and other institutions. They use their understanding of financial markets and economics to help clients raise capital and manage their finances. This course may be useful for an Investment Banker because it will help them to understand the macroeconomic factors that can affect the performance of companies and the financial markets. This knowledge will be useful for them in advising clients on investment decisions.
Credit Analyst
A Credit Analyst evaluates the creditworthiness of individuals and businesses. They use their understanding of financial analysis to assess the risk of default and to make recommendations on whether or not to extend credit. This course on diagnostic macroeconomics may be useful for someone who wants to become a Credit Analyst. The skills and knowledge taught in the course, such as the ability to analyze and interpret economic data, would be valuable for an Credit Analyst in assessing the creditworthiness of individuals and businesses.
Data Analyst
Data analysts collect, clean, and analyze data to identify trends and patterns. They use their findings to make recommendations on how to improve business operations and decision-making. This course may be useful for a Data Analyst because it will provide training in macroeconomic analysis. This will help to develop the skills needed to collect, clean, and analyze macroeconomic data and to use this data to identify trends and patterns.
Policy Analyst
Policy analysts conduct research and analysis to inform policy decisions. They use their understanding of economics and public policy to evaluate the potential impact of different policies and to make recommendations on the best course of action. This course on diagnostic macroeconomics may be useful for someone who wants to become a Policy Analyst. The skills and knowledge taught in the course, such as the ability to analyze and interpret economic data, would be valuable for an Policy Analyst in evaluating the potential impact of different policies.
Statistician
Statisticians collect, analyze, interpret, and present data. They use their knowledge of statistics to develop and implement surveys, experiments, and other methods of data collection. This course may be useful for a Statistician because it will provide training in macroeconomic analysis. This will help to develop the skills needed to collect, analyze, interpret, and present macroeconomic data.
Consultant
Consultants provide professional advice and guidance to businesses and organizations. They use their expertise in a particular field to help clients solve problems and improve their performance. This course may be useful for a Consultant because it will provide training in macroeconomic analysis. This will help to develop the skills needed to analyze macroeconomic data and to provide advice and guidance to clients on how to manage macroeconomic risks.
Market Researcher
Market researchers conduct research to understand consumer behavior and market trends. They use their findings to help businesses develop and market their products and services. This course may be useful for a Market Researcher because it will provide training in macroeconomic analysis. This will help to develop the skills needed to collect, analyze, and interpret macroeconomic data. This information can be used to better understand consumer behavior and market trends.
Professor
A Professor typically teaches at a college or university. While many professors hold a Ph.D. in their field of instruction, this is not always the case, and there are many who only hold a Master's degree. Professors will typically research topics within their field of expertise and then present their findings to the academic community. This course may be useful for a Professor as it may assist them as they conduct their research and present their findings. The skills and knowledge taught in the course, such as the ability to analyze and interpret economic data, would be valuable for an Professor as they contribute new insights to the body of knowledge in their field.

Reading list

We've selected eight books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Diagnostic macroéconomique.
Ce manuel avancé explore les théories et les modèles de la croissance économique et du développement, offrant une base théorique solide pour l'analyse macroéconomique.
Ce livre complet couvre la théorie et la pratique de la politique monétaire, offrant une compréhension approfondie du rôle des banques centrales dans la gestion de l'économie.
Ce manuel renommé fournit une introduction rigoureuse à la macroéconomie avancée, couvrant des sujets tels que les cycles économiques, la monnaie et la finance.
Ce manuel réputé fournit une analyse rigoureuse de la théorie et de la pratique de la politique budgétaire, couvrant des sujets tels que les multiplicateurs budgétaires et les règles budgétaires.
Ce rapport de la Banque mondiale analyse les tendances économiques et les risques dans les économies émergentes et en développement.

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