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Proyección de la deuda pública

la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx)

Leonardo Martínez

En este curso se describen las bases de la dinámica de la deuda pública (es decir, la evolución de la deuda pública a lo largo del tiempo) y se explica cómo se aplican estos conceptos en la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDT), un instrumento fácil de usar basado en Excel. La herramienta DDT permite proyectar la deuda pública para un escenario de referencia y escenarios alternativos, entre otras cosas mediante gráficos de abanico que representan la incertidumbre sobre la evolución de la deuda pública. La herramienta también permite identificar los principales factores detrás de las variaciones de la deuda pública y calcular los ajustes fiscales que deben introducirse para lograr la meta de endeudamiento público del usuario tras el período de ajuste definido.

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En este curso se describen las bases de la dinámica de la deuda pública (es decir, la evolución de la deuda pública a lo largo del tiempo) y se explica cómo se aplican estos conceptos en la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDT), un instrumento fácil de usar basado en Excel. La herramienta DDT permite proyectar la deuda pública para un escenario de referencia y escenarios alternativos, entre otras cosas mediante gráficos de abanico que representan la incertidumbre sobre la evolución de la deuda pública. La herramienta también permite identificar los principales factores detrás de las variaciones de la deuda pública y calcular los ajustes fiscales que deben introducirse para lograr la meta de endeudamiento público del usuario tras el período de ajuste definido.

What you'll learn

Para cuando culmine este curso, los participantes deberían ser capaces de:

  • Reconocer los conceptos fundamentales para la proyección de la deuda pública.

  • Usar cálculos simples para proyectar la deuda pública.

  • Establecer cuáles son los factores clave que contribuyen a las variaciones de la relación entre la deuda pública y el PIB

  • Calcular las trayectorias fiscales que permitirían alcanzar la meta de deuda pública definida por el usuario.

  • Elaborar proyecciones de la relación de la deuda en escenarios alternativos, incluidos gráficos de abanico.

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Proyecta la deuda pública a través de cálculos simples y una herramienta de Excel de fácil uso
Desarrolla las bases de la dinámica de la deuda pública
Diseñado para ayudar a los usuarios a identificar los factores que afectan la deuda pública y calcular los ajustes fiscales necesarios para alcanzar los objetivos deseados
Dirigido a quienes buscan comprender y proyectar la deuda pública
Impartido por Leonardo Martínez, instructor reconocido en el campo

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Activities

Coming soon We're preparing activities for Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx). These are activities you can do either before, during, or after a course.

Career center

Learners who complete Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Budget Analyst
Budget Analysts are primarily responsible for developing and managing budgets. This course, in particular, teaches how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. This is an extremely relevant skill for Budget Analysts who are interested in or are already in roles where they are responsible for making recommendations on how to allocate public funds.
Financial Analyst
Financial Analysts specialize in evaluating a company's financial health so they can make sound recommendations on what investment decisions to make. Many Financial Analysts focus on the public sector. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) would be extremely relevant to these Financial Analysts. This course primarily focuses on providing people with the tools to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Extensive knowledge of public debt is extremely valuable to Financial Analysts who want to go on to roles where they are responsible for making investment decisions in the public sector.
Treasury Analyst
Treasury Analysts are typically responsible for identifying, assessing, and mitigating financial risks. As such, the concepts taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as this knowledge helps professionals understand how to project future financial risks. This course, in particular, would be good preparation for Treasury Analysts as it teaches how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. This is an extremely relevant skill for Treasury Analysts who desire to move into roles where they focus on public finance and banking.
Quantitative Analyst
Quantitative Analysts are typically responsible for solving complex problems using both statistical and mathematical models. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful in the field of public finance. This course, in particular, may be useful for Quantitative Analysts who want to learn how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios.
Risk Manager
Risk Managers are typically responsible for the identification, assessment, and mitigation of financial risks. As such, the concepts taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as this knowledge can help professionals understand how to project future financial risks. This course, in particular, would be good preparation for Risk Managers as it teaches how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. This is an extremely relevant skill for Risk Managers who want to move into roles where they focus on public finance and banking.
Economist
Economists study how societies produce, distribute, and consume goods and services. They often engage in research for governments, businesses, or non-profit organizations. Those in the public sector often specialize in public finance and banking. As such, the concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful in the field of public finance. This course, in particular, may be useful for Economists who want to learn how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios.
Data Analyst
Data Analysts quantify and analyze large sets of data to help companies make better business decisions. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. For Data Analysts who want to specialize in the public sector, this is a relevant skill that can help them move into roles where they are responsible for analyzing public financial data.
Consultant
Consultants provide advice and guidance to organizations on a wide range of issues. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. For Consultants who want to specialize in advising governments or non-profits on public finance, this is a relevant skill that can help them move into roles where they are responsible for advising on decisions related to public debt and government spending.
Financial Planner
Financial Planners develop and implement financial plans for individuals and families. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Financial Planners who want to specialize in public finance may find this course useful as it provides foundational knowledge in this area.
Auditor
Auditors are responsible for examining and verifying the accuracy of financial records. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Public sector Auditors may find this course to be a useful way to build foundational knowledge on public finance.
Data Scientist
Data Scientists use scientific methods, processes, algorithms, and systems to extract knowledge and insights from data. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Data Scientists who want to specialize in the public sector may find this course to be a useful way to build foundational knowledge on public finance.
Accountant
Accountants prepare and maintain financial records for businesses and individuals. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Accountants who want to specialize in public finance may find this course useful as it provides foundational knowledge in this area.
Investment Banker
Investment Bankers help companies and governments raise money by issuing and selling securities. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Investment Bankers who want to specialize in advising governments or non-profits on public finance may find this course useful as it provides foundational knowledge in this area.
Actuary
Actuaries use mathematical and statistical techniques to assess risk and uncertainty. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Actuaries who want to specialize in public finance may find this course useful.
Commercial Banker
Commercial Bankers provide financial services to businesses. The concepts and tools taught in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx) may be useful as foundational knowledge. This course teaches students how to apply the dynamic debt tool to project public debt for a reference scenario and alternative scenarios. Commercial Bankers who want to specialize in advising businesses on public finance may find this course useful as it provides foundational knowledge in this area.

Reading list

We've selected eight books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDtx).
This guide provides a detailed explanation of the IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries. It outlines the methodology used to assess debt sustainability, discusses the factors that can affect debt sustainability, and offers guidance on how to use the framework in practice.
Este libro ofrece una amplia introducción a la econometría, incluyendo los conceptos básicos, los métodos de estimación y los análisis estadísticos. Cubre una amplia gama de temas, como regresión lineal y no lineal, modelos de series temporales y econometría de panel.
Discusses the role of fiscal rules in promoting public debt sustainability. It analyzes the different types of fiscal rules, their effectiveness, and the challenges in implementing them.
Examines the relationship between public debt and fiscal policy in developing countries. It discusses the impact of public debt on economic growth, inflation, and external imbalances, and analyzes the effectiveness of different fiscal policies in managing public debt.
Este libro ofrece una amplia introducción al desarrollo económico. Cubre una amplia gama de temas, como el crecimiento económico, la pobreza y la desigualdad.
Provides a comprehensive overview of international economics. It covers a wide range of topics, including international trade, finance, and development.
Este libro ofrece una amplia introducción a la economía internacional. Cubre una amplia gama de temas, como el comercio internacional, las finanzas y el desarrollo.

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