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Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool

This course, lays out the underpinnings of public debt dynamics (i.e., of the evolution of public debt over time) and explains how these concepts are applied in the easy-to-use Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT). The DDT provides public debt projections under a baseline and alternative scenarios, including through fan charts that represent the uncertainty about the evolution of public debt. The DDT also identifies the main drivers of public debt changes and computes fiscal adjustments paths that would be necessary to achieve a user-defined public debt target after a user-defined adjustment period.

What you'll learn

Upon completion of this course, participants should be able to:

Recognize key concepts for the projection of public debt.
Use simple calculations to project public debt.
Identify the key contributors to changes in the public debt-to-GDP ratio.
Compute fiscal paths that would allow to achieve a user-defined public debt target.
Produce projections of the debt ratio under alternative scenarios, including fan charts.

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Good to know

Know what's good

, what to watch for

, and possible dealbreakers

Suitable for individuals with a background in economics or finance

Provides practical tools and a user-friendly interface for public debt analysis

Lays a solid foundation for understanding public debt dynamics

Offers interactive exercises and real-world case studies

Led by experienced instructors from the International Monetary Fund

Prerequisites include knowledge of basic macroeconomic concepts and Excel

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Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool with these activities:

Organize your notes and materials

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Organizing your materials will help you stay organized and make it easier to review the course content.

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Create a dedicated folder or notebook for the course.
File your notes, assignments, and other materials in an organized way.
Consider using a note-taking app or software to enhance organization.

Review basic mathematics skills

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Refreshing your basic mathematics skills will help you understand the mathematical concepts used in public debt dynamics.

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Review algebra basics, such as solving equations and inequalities.
Practice calculating percentages and ratios.

Seek guidance from a public debt expert

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A mentor can provide personalized guidance and support as you learn about public debt dynamics.

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Identify public debt experts in your local area or online.
Reach out to potential mentors and request their guidance.

Seven other activities

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Follow tutorials on Excel for Beginners

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Public Debt Dynamics Tool requires proficiency in Excel. Following tutorials will equip you with the necessary skills.

Browse courses on Excel

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Find tutorials that cover basic Excel functions and formulas.
Follow the tutorials step-by-step and practice using the functions.

Practice calculating public debt projections

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Reinforce your understanding of key concepts related to public debt dynamics.

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Review the course materials on public debt dynamics.
Use the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT) to calculate public debt projections.
Analyze the results of your projections and identify the key drivers of public debt changes.
Use the DDT to compute fiscal adjustment paths that would achieve a user-defined public debt target.

Attend a workshop on public debt management

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Deepen your knowledge of public debt management strategies.

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Research and identify upcoming workshops on public debt management.
Register for a workshop that aligns with your interests.
Attend the workshop and actively participate in discussions.
Reflect on what you learned and how you can apply it to your work.

Solve practice problems on public debt dynamics

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Practice problems will help you apply the concepts of public debt dynamics and enhance your problem-solving skills.

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Find practice problems from textbooks or online resources.
Solve the problems step-by-step, showing your calculations.
Check your answers against the provided solutions.

Develop a public debt management plan for a hypothetical country

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Apply your skills in public debt management by creating a comprehensive plan.

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Research and analyze the economic and fiscal situation of a hypothetical country.
Identify the country's public debt challenges and vulnerabilities.
Develop a public debt management plan that addresses the identified challenges.
Present your plan to a panel of experts for feedback and evaluation.

Create a visual representation of public debt trends

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Creating visual representations will help you understand the patterns and trends in public debt.

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Gather data on public debt from reliable sources.
Choose an appropriate data visualization tool (e.g., Excel, Tableau).
Create charts or graphs that illustrate the trends in public debt over time.

Volunteer at a financial literacy organization

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Volunteering will provide you with practical experience in public debt management and financial literacy.

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Find a local financial literacy organization that offers volunteer opportunities.
Assist with programs that educate the public about public debt and financial management.

Career center

Learners who complete Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:

Management Consultant

Management Consultants help businesses improve their performance. They may work for a variety of industries, such as finance, healthcare, or manufacturing. This course may be useful for Management Consultants because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound management decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Management Consultant

Data Scientist

Data Scientists use statistical and computational techniques to analyze data. They may work for a variety of industries, such as finance, healthcare, or retail. This course may be useful for Data Scientists because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound data-driven decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Data Scientist

Financial Analyst

Financial Analysts are responsible for evaluating the financial performance of companies and making recommendations on how to improve it. They may also be responsible for making investment recommendations to clients. This course may be useful for Financial Analysts because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound investment decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Financial Analyst

Quantitative Analyst

Quantitative Analysts use mathematical and statistical techniques to analyze financial data. They may work for investment banks, hedge funds, or other financial institutions. This course may be useful for Quantitative Analysts because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for developing and implementing quantitative financial models.

See salaries and explore the career path for Quantitative Analyst

Actuary

Actuaries use mathematical and statistical techniques to assess risk. They may work for insurance companies, pension funds, or other financial institutions. This course may be useful for Actuaries because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound risk management decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Actuary

Investment Banker

Investment Bankers help companies raise capital and advise them on mergers and acquisitions. They may also provide financial advice to individuals and institutions. This course may be useful for Investment Bankers because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound investment decisions.

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Portfolio Manager

Portfolio Managers are responsible for managing investment portfolios for clients. They make decisions about which investments to buy and sell, and they monitor the performance of the portfolio. This course may be useful for Portfolio Managers because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound investment decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Portfolio Manager

Risk Manager

Risk Managers are responsible for identifying and managing risks to a company's financial health. They may also be responsible for developing and implementing risk management strategies. This course may be useful for Risk Managers because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of companies and making sound risk management decisions.

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Financial Planner

Financial Planners help individuals and families plan for their financial future. They may also provide investment advice. This course may be useful for Financial Planners because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of individuals and families and making sound financial planning decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Financial Planner

Credit Analyst

Credit Analysts evaluate the creditworthiness of borrowers. They may work for banks, credit unions, or other financial institutions. This course may be useful for Credit Analysts because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of borrowers and making sound lending decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Credit Analyst

Policy Analyst

Policy Analysts develop and evaluate public policies. They may work for government agencies, think tanks, or non-profit organizations. This course may be useful for Policy Analysts because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of governments and making sound policy decisions.

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Economist

Economists study the economy and make recommendations on how to improve it. They may work for government agencies, businesses, or research institutions. This course may be useful for Economists because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of countries and making sound economic policy decisions.

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Budget Analyst

Budget Analysts help governments and businesses plan and manage their finances. They may also be responsible for developing and implementing budget policies. This course may be useful for Budget Analysts because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of governments and businesses and making sound budget decisions.

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Loan Officer

Loan Officers help borrowers obtain loans. They may work for banks, credit unions, or other financial institutions. This course may be useful for Loan Officers because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of borrowers and making sound lending decisions.

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Public Finance Specialist

Public Finance Specialists work for government agencies and help to manage public finances. They may be responsible for developing and implementing fiscal policies. This course may be useful for Public Finance Specialists because it provides a strong foundation in public debt dynamics. This knowledge can be helpful for understanding the financial health of governments and making sound fiscal policy decisions.

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Reading list

We've selected nine books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool.

The Liquidation of Government Debt

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Provides an empirical analysis of the relationship between public debt and economic growth. It finds that high levels of public debt can have negative effects on economic growth.

Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool

What you'll learn

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Reading list

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