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Suresh K. Krishna and Gautam Kaul

This course is part of a Specialization titled “Strategy and Finance for a Lifecycle of a Social Business”, with a follow-on project-based course on understanding and evaluating a business focused on addressing a societal issue. The beauty of a modern decision-making framework is that it can be used to understand value creation at any level – the individual or business or societal. The applications however become increasingly complex as your lens expands from the individual to the corporate/nonprofit to the global society.

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This course is part of a Specialization titled “Strategy and Finance for a Lifecycle of a Social Business”, with a follow-on project-based course on understanding and evaluating a business focused on addressing a societal issue. The beauty of a modern decision-making framework is that it can be used to understand value creation at any level – the individual or business or societal. The applications however become increasingly complex as your lens expands from the individual to the corporate/nonprofit to the global society.

There are two building blocks of modern decision making – time value of money and risk.

This is because all decisions are made with consequences for the future which, in turn is uncertain. A deep understanding of the value of time and risk is therefore key to understanding value creation.

This course is an introduction to the second building block of decision-making: risk and return. We not only introduce risk and return, but also put together our understanding of time value of money and cash flows developed in the preceding three courses of this Specialization, to value projects and companies.

As indicated at the outset, the beauty of modern frameworks and tools of analysis is that they are logical and do not change depending on the purpose of business. However, to demonstrate social impact is very complex because prices for both the public good, and any harm created by our actions, are not available. It is also very challenging to determine the incremental effect of a business on society at large. The combination of these issues makes all social impact and value specific to a business, making it even more important to use the same frameworks and tools developed in this Specialization to value any business.

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What's inside

Syllabus

Module 1: The Need for, and the Value of, Social Business and the Complexity and the Challenges of Creating Them
The Specialization is part of a program designed for an audience interested in working for, or creating, social businesses and anyone who wants to use modern frameworks and tools to understand how value is created for an individual, a company and social business. Since social businesses take on inherently more complex missions - by design, they are set up to address social issues - the task of understanding and evaluating opportunities aimed at addressing social issues requires a deeper understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of modern frameworks and tools. Arguably, all businesses try and impact society. This is the main reason why the Specialization has both analytical rigor and real-world applicability. My hope is that by the end of the Specialization we will be ready to evaluate, understand, and even create social businesses. This is a journey that will start with value to an individual and then gradually understand value created by regular businesses and, finally, tackle value creation by a social business. We will however not wait till the end of the Specialization to start thinking seriously about how social businesses are distinct from regular businesses. The good news is that you have already been exposed to a great course on social business – with world-known experts sharing their views, followed by an engaging and framework-based approach to consider how to identify a social problem and then develop an approach to addressing it using a multi-stakeholder approach. To motivate folks to understand the complexity of evaluating a social business, I will start by sharing some publicly available articles on what popular thinking is about social business, on how to measure social value and some real-world examples. I will do so gradually over the four courses, without testing, but with reflection exercises built in at the beginning and the end of each course. I have managed the Social Venture Fund (SVF) at the University of Michigan for over a decade now and we evaluate and invest in social businesses. I also recently launched the International Investment Fund (IIF) in India that evaluates, supports and invests in small- and medium-sized businesses. I will share cases written by me and my students related to this work, but please do not distribute them. The purpose of the reflection exercises is meant for you to gradually gain exposure to the complexities of social businesses and measuring social value. You are not expected to be able to value the businesses described in the cases, but to keep them in mind and reflect on the frameworks and tools you are introduced to and their applicability to decision-making in social businesses. While you will not be tested on specifics in the reflection portions of this Specialization, maintaining a personal journal on important issues throughout the Specialization will really help so you prepare for the challenging work on the project on a social business following successful completion of the Specialization. You will hopefully realize that the framework and tools provided in the Specialization will not only help you in any business, but also are the same for a social business. You will hopefully realize that, at the end of the day, it is all about intent and what you produce/provide and to whom and how. And what is readily measurable and verifiable may be one of the key differences between a regular and a truly social business – everything, eventually, is about quantity times price of what you have to offer. Most businesses focus on producing goods and services that have readily available markets and therefore prices. Perhaps the key difference in understanding and managing a social business versus a regular business is its focus on issues beyond an individual and a desire to provide goods and services that are not priced and therefore rewarded by free markets because they benefit society and cannot be captured by corporations. This, in turn, makes a social business all the more challenging to create and manage.
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Module 2: Overview of Specialization & Course
This module contains detailed videos and syllabi of both the Specialization and the fourth course. This Specialization has been designed to enable you to learn and apply the powerful tools of modern finance to personal, corporate and social businesses. In fact, this frameworks and tools can be applied to decision-making in any context, including nonprofit and governmental initiatives to tackle the simplest to most challenging issues we confront individually or collectively. The courses within progress linearly and build on each other and it is important for you to get an understanding of why this Specialization may be relevant to any context. Please review the videos and syllabi as they will give you a sense of the Specialization and how this specific course fits within. My teaching style and philosophy are also presented to you (hopefully) in sufficient detail. I believe education is the key to addressing the challenges that we face across the globe. Most importantly, all this content is meant to give you enough information to enable you to make a decision about whether you want to take this Specialization, or this course by itself. To make sure you have the social lens in mind, we have also created a course that focuses on social business that you must take before this Specialization. This will hopefully make you think about what a social business looks like and, importantly, how it differs from standard business. A deeper realization of this can only occur when you are able to recognize how value is created by regular businesses. This will be a slow process that is hopefully already in motion and your understanding will deepen by the end of this course so that you are ready to work on a social business.
Risk, Return and Valuation
This course deals with the determination of the discount rate we have used in all previous courses to value projects, bonds and stocks. Combined with cash flows, the discount rate captures all aspects of financial valuation that is the main goal of this Specialization and course. In the first module, we will try and understand risk as perceived by humans and develop a measure that is powerful and intuitive. Since this topic requires both art and science of finance, we will have three assignments in this course.
Diversification and CAPM
During this module, we will introduce one of the most powerful and intuitive model of modern finance - the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) - that forms the basis of our understanding of the relation between risk and return.
Leverage, WACC and Valuation
In this module, we will understand the discount rate in a world where a company has both equity ad debt. This will require us to evaluate the impact of debt (also known as leverage) on the equity holders of the firm. We will develop the weighted average cost of capital. Finally, we will put together cash flows and WACC and get our first exposure to valuation with a full-blown application.
Putting it All Together!
This last module of this course and the Specialization. We therefore wrap things up by providing some real world twists and a final assignment that evaluates your ability to put everything together.

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Developers a deep understanding of the second building block of decision-making: risk and return
Teaches how to value projects and companies by combining the understanding of time value of money and cash flows with risk and return
Suitable for individuals interested in working for or creating social businesses, and for those seeking to understand value creation for individuals, companies, and social businesses
Involves a Specialization project-based course on understanding and evaluating a business focused on addressing a societal issue
Taught by Gautam Kaul and Suresh K. Krishna, esteemed instructors in strategy and finance
Emphasizes the application of modern decision-making frameworks and tools to social impact analysis and valuation, which can be challenging due to the complexity of determining incremental societal effects

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Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Risk, Return and Valuation with these activities:
Form Study Groups
Collaborate with peers to enhance understanding and retention
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  • Identify classmates with similar interests and goals
  • Meet regularly to discuss course material
  • Work together on practice problems and projects
Review Probability and Statistics
Ensure a strong foundation in probability and statistics, which is essential for risk assessment
Browse courses on Probability
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  • Review lecture notes and textbooks
  • Solve practice problems
Read 'The Intelligent Investor' by Benjamin Graham
Gain a solid foundation in investment principles and strategies
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Four other activities
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Show all seven activities
Valuation Exercises
Reinforce understanding of valuation techniques and apply them to real-world scenarios
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  • Solve practice problems on valuation
  • Create your own valuation models
  • Peer review each other's models
Exploring Advanced Valuation Techniques
Expand knowledge of valuation techniques beyond those covered in the course
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  • Identify advanced valuation techniques
  • Learn about these techniques through online tutorials
  • Apply these techniques to real-world examples
Extend the CAPM Model
Solidify understanding of the limitations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and to explore advanced variants
Show steps
  • Review different variants of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
  • Extend the original model based on your review
  • Test your extended model on real-world data
  • Present your findings to the class
Develop a Risk and Return Simulation
Deepen understanding of the relationship between risk and return through hands-on simulation
Show steps
  • Research different risk and return models
  • Design and develop a simulation based on your research
  • Run simulations and analyze the results
  • Share your findings with others

Career center

Learners who complete Risk, Return and Valuation will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Financial Analyst
Financial analysts use their financial modeling, valuation, and data analysis skills to provide clients with investment recommendations. This course provides an overview of modern financial analysis techniques and covers topics like the determination of the discount rate, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and how leverage and debt impact valuations. These concepts are essential for making sound investment decisions, making this course highly relevant to financial analysts.
Investment Banker
Investment bankers play a critical role in the financial world by advising companies on mergers and acquisitions, capital raising, and other strategic transactions. They need a deep understanding of financial valuation, risk assessment, and capital markets. This course provides foundational knowledge in these areas by introducing the concept of risk and return, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) used in valuation. Overall, this course can enhance the skills and knowledge needed to excel as an investment banker.
Portfolio Manager
Portfolio managers oversee investment portfolios and make decisions on behalf of their clients. They require expertise in risk and return analysis, asset allocation, and portfolio optimization. This course provides a solid foundation in these areas by covering concepts like the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), leverage, and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to assess risk and return, portfolio managers can make more informed investment decisions and enhance the performance of their clients' portfolios.
Credit Analyst
Credit analysts assess the creditworthiness of individuals and organizations, playing a crucial role in the financial industry. They use financial analysis techniques to evaluate risk and make lending decisions. This course offers a comprehensive overview of modern financial valuation techniques, including the determination of discount rates, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the impact of leverage. These concepts are essential for credit analysts to accurately assess the risk associated with borrowers and make informed credit decisions.
Financial Risk Manager
Financial risk managers develop and implement strategies to manage financial risks faced by organizations. They require a thorough understanding of risk assessment, modeling, and mitigation techniques. This course provides a solid foundation in these areas by covering concepts like risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding the sources and types of financial risks and how to quantify and manage them, financial risk managers can help organizations protect their financial health.
Corporate Finance Analyst
Corporate finance analysts play a key role in the financial management of organizations. They provide analysis and recommendations on various aspects of corporate finance, including capital budgeting, capital structure, and dividend policy. This course provides a comprehensive overview of modern financial analysis techniques, encompassing topics such as risk and return, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and leverage. These concepts are essential for corporate finance analysts to make informed decisions that maximize shareholder value.
Actuary
Actuaries use mathematical and statistical techniques to assess and manage financial risks, particularly in the insurance industry. They need a solid understanding of risk analysis, probability theory, and financial modeling. This course provides a foundation in these areas by covering concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to quantify and manage financial risks, actuaries can help insurance companies make informed decisions and develop appropriate risk management strategies.
Quantitative Analyst
Quantitative analysts (quants) use mathematical and statistical models to analyze financial data and make investment decisions. They require expertise in risk assessment, modeling, and data analysis. This course provides a foundation in these areas by introducing concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to quantify and manage financial risks and build financial models, quantitative analysts can contribute to the development and implementation of successful investment strategies.
Risk Consultant
Risk consultants help organizations identify, assess, and manage risks. They require a comprehensive understanding of risk management principles and techniques. This course provides a foundational knowledge in these areas by covering concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and leverage. By understanding the sources and types of financial risks and how to quantify and manage them, risk consultants can help organizations develop and implement effective risk management strategies.
Data Analyst
Data analysts use data analysis techniques to extract insights and inform decision-making in various industries. They require proficiency in data analysis tools and techniques, as well as a strong understanding of statistical concepts. This course provides a foundation in these areas by introducing concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to analyze data and quantify financial risks, data analysts can contribute to the development of data-driven solutions and decision-making processes.
Financial Planner
Financial planners help individuals and families manage their finances and plan for the future. They require a comprehensive understanding of financial planning principles and techniques. This course provides a foundational knowledge in these areas by covering concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and leverage. By understanding how to assess risk and return, financial planners can help their clients make informed financial decisions and achieve their financial goals.
Business Analyst
Business analysts use their analytical and problem-solving skills to identify and solve business problems. They require a strong understanding of business processes and data analysis techniques. This course provides a foundation in these areas by introducing concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to analyze data and quantify financial risks, business analysts can contribute to the development of data-driven solutions and decision-making processes in various business contexts.
Management Consultant
Management consultants advise organizations on strategy, operations, and technology. They require a comprehensive understanding of business principles and analytical techniques. This course provides a foundation in these areas by covering concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and leverage. By understanding how to assess risk and make informed decisions, management consultants can help organizations improve their performance and achieve their business objectives.
Auditor
Auditors examine financial records and processes to ensure accuracy and compliance. They require a strong understanding of accounting principles and auditing procedures. This course provides a foundation in these areas by introducing concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to assess risk and apply accounting principles, auditors can contribute to the accuracy and reliability of financial reporting and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements.
Tax Accountant
Tax accountants specialize in tax laws and regulations and assist individuals and businesses with tax compliance and planning. They require a deep understanding of tax laws and accounting principles. This course provides a foundation in these areas by introducing concepts such as risk perception, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). By understanding how to assess risk and apply tax laws and regulations, tax accountants can help their clients minimize tax liabilities and optimize their financial positions.

Reading list

We've selected 13 books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Risk, Return and Valuation.
This classic book provides a rigorous treatment of the theory of investment value.
This classic book provides a practical guide to investing for the individual investor.
This reference book provides a comprehensive overview of the theory and practice of risk management.

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