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Marco de Sostenibilidad de la Deuda para los Países de Bajo Ingreso (MSD PBIx)

Gonzalo Huertas, Anna Corcuera, Leonardo Martínez, Mumtaz Hussain, and Vivian Norambuena

El Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) y el Banco Mundial (BM) elaboraron el MSD PBI para ayudar a los países de bajo ingreso a alcanzar sus objetivos de desarrollo y minimizar el riesgo de una situación crítica causada por el sobreendeudamiento. Este curso de un módulo le permitirá entender el MSD PBI y, por lo tanto, poder interpretar los resultados del MSD PBI presentados en los informes del BM y del FMI. El curso le explicará los pasos necesarios para aplicar el MSD PBI. En primer lugar, identificaremos los requisitos de datos y las «herramientas de realismo» que se utilizan para evaluar la verosimilitud de las proyecciones macroeconómicas. Luego entenderá cómo el MSD PBI calcula la capacidad de endeudamiento de un país, que se utiliza para determinar los umbrales de los indicadores de la carga de la deuda. Cuando un indicador de la carga de la deuda supera su umbral en los escenarios base o de pruebas de tensión, esto advierte que existe riesgo de una situación crítica de la deuda. Para concluir, el curso explorará cómo se puede utilizar el juicio para llegar a una calificación final de riesgo.

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El Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) y el Banco Mundial (BM) elaboraron el MSD PBI para ayudar a los países de bajo ingreso a alcanzar sus objetivos de desarrollo y minimizar el riesgo de una situación crítica causada por el sobreendeudamiento. Este curso de un módulo le permitirá entender el MSD PBI y, por lo tanto, poder interpretar los resultados del MSD PBI presentados en los informes del BM y del FMI. El curso le explicará los pasos necesarios para aplicar el MSD PBI. En primer lugar, identificaremos los requisitos de datos y las «herramientas de realismo» que se utilizan para evaluar la verosimilitud de las proyecciones macroeconómicas. Luego entenderá cómo el MSD PBI calcula la capacidad de endeudamiento de un país, que se utiliza para determinar los umbrales de los indicadores de la carga de la deuda. Cuando un indicador de la carga de la deuda supera su umbral en los escenarios base o de pruebas de tensión, esto advierte que existe riesgo de una situación crítica de la deuda. Para concluir, el curso explorará cómo se puede utilizar el juicio para llegar a una calificación final de riesgo.

What you'll learn

Al completar el curso debería poder:

  • Identificar los requisitos de datos para el uso de la planilla MSD PBI.

  • Aprender los pasos de la determinación de las calificaciones de riesgo del MSD PBI.

  • Entender las herramientas de realismo del MSD PBI.

  • Interpretar los escenarios de pruebas de tensión del MSD PBI.

  • Identificar cómo el MSD PBI calcula los umbrales de los indicadores de la carga de la deuda.

  • Interpretar los resultados del análisis de sostenibilidad de la deuda para los países de bajo ingreso, tal como se presentan en los informes del BM y del FMI.

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Desarrolla las habilidades y competencias de los profesionales interesados en el análisis de sostenibilidad de la deuda
Explora el Marco de Sostenibilidad de la Deuda (MSD PBI) para evaluar el riesgo de sobreendeudamiento para países de bajos ingresos
Ofrece una base sólida para aquellos que buscan comprender y analizar la sostenibilidad de la deuda de una manera estructurada
Impartido por expertos en el área, lo que garantiza la calidad y relevancia del contenido
Presenta una visión integral del MSD PBI, cubriendo los requisitos de datos, las herramientas de realismo y los métodos de cálculo

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Activities

Coming soon We're preparing activities for Marco de Sostenibilidad de la Deuda para los Países de Bajo Ingreso (MSD PBIx). These are activities you can do either before, during, or after a course.

Career center

Learners who complete Marco de Sostenibilidad de la Deuda para los Países de Bajo Ingreso (MSD PBIx) will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Financial Analyst
Financial analysts provide investment advice to individuals and institutions. They analyze financial data to make recommendations on which stocks, bonds, or other investments to buy or sell. If you are interested in a career as a Financial Analyst, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Risk Analyst
Risk Analysts assess the potential risks and uncertainties associated with a particular investment or business decision. They use a variety of tools and techniques to identify and quantify risks, and to develop strategies to mitigate them. If you are interested in a career as a Risk Analyst, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Policy Analyst
Policy Analysts research and analyze public policies to make recommendations to policymakers. They work in a variety of settings, including government agencies, think tanks, and non-profit organizations. If you are interested in a career as a Policy Analyst, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the impact of different policies on the economy.
Economist
Economists study the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services. They analyze data on employment levels, inflation, and economic growth to understand how the economy is performing. If you are interested in a career as an Economist, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the economic principles that underpin the MSD PBI framework and how it is used to assess the sustainability of public debt in low-income countries.
International Development Specialist
International Development Specialists work to improve the economic and social conditions in developing countries. They design and implement programs to address issues such as poverty, hunger, and disease. If you are interested in a career as an International Development Specialist, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the challenges of debt sustainability in low-income countries and how to design programs to help them achieve their development goals.
Sustainability Analyst
Sustainability Analysts assess the environmental, social, and economic impact of a company's operations. They develop and implement sustainability strategies to help companies reduce their environmental footprint, improve their social performance, and achieve their long-term business goals. If you are interested in a career as a Sustainability Analyst, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the impact of different business practices on the environment and society.
Sovereign Wealth Fund Manager
Sovereign Wealth Fund Managers oversee the investment of a country's sovereign wealth fund. They make investment decisions based on a variety of factors, including the country's economic outlook, its risk tolerance, and its long-term investment goals. If you are interested in a career as a Sovereign Wealth Fund Manager, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Senior Economist
Senior Economists conduct economic research and provide advice to policymakers. They work in a variety of settings, including government agencies, think tanks, and non-profit organizations. If you are interested in a career as a Senior Economist, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the impact of different policies on the economy.
Underwriter
Underwriters evaluate the risk of issuing insurance policies. They determine the premium that policyholders must pay and the terms of the policy. If you are interested in a career as an Underwriter, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Research Analyst
Research Analysts conduct research on companies, industries, and markets. They provide investment recommendations to clients based on their research findings. If you are interested in a career as a Research Analyst, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Quantitative Analyst
Quantitative Analysts use mathematical and statistical techniques to analyze financial data. They develop models to predict future market trends and to assess the risk of different investments. If you are interested in a career as a Quantitative Analyst, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Investment Banker
Investment Bankers provide financial advice to corporations and governments. They help companies raise capital by issuing stocks and bonds, and they advise governments on how to manage their debt. If you are interested in a career as an Investment Banker, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Portfolio Manager
Portfolio Managers manage investment portfolios for individuals and institutions. They make investment decisions based on a variety of factors, including the client's risk tolerance, investment goals, and time horizon. If you are interested in a career as a Portfolio Manager, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Risk Manager
Risk Managers identify, assess, and mitigate risks for companies and organizations. They develop and implement risk management strategies to protect their clients from financial losses. If you are interested in a career as a Risk Manager, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the risk of a country defaulting on its debt.
Development Economist
Development Economists apply economic principles to the study of developing countries. They analyze the economic challenges facing developing countries and design and implement policies to help them achieve their development goals. If you are interested in a career as a Development Economist, this course may be useful. It will help you understand the principles of debt sustainability and how to assess the economic impact of different policies in low-income countries.

Reading list

We've selected 13 books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Marco de Sostenibilidad de la Deuda para los Países de Bajo Ingreso (MSD PBIx).
Este libro proporciona un análisis crítico del papel de la deuda externa en el desarrollo económico. Stiglitz sostiene que la deuda externa puede ser un obstáculo importante para el desarrollo y aboga por un enfoque más cauteloso para el préstamo y el endeudamiento.
Este libro proporciona una introducción integral a la economía del desarrollo. Acemoglu y Robinson exploran los factores que contribuyen al crecimiento económico y al desarrollo, así como los obstáculos que enfrentan los países en desarrollo.
Este libro presenta un plan para acabar con la pobreza extrema en el mundo. Sachs sostiene que es posible erradicar la pobreza extrema para 2030 con una inversión sustancial en salud, educación e infraestructura.
Provides a political economy perspective on debt, which is relevant for understanding debt sustainability in low-income countries.
Provides a comprehensive overview of public debt management, including principles and practices.
Este libro analiza los desafíos que enfrentan los países de ingresos medios para lograr un crecimiento económico sostenido. Rodrik argumenta que los países de ingresos medios a menudo se quedan atrapados en una trampa en la que no pueden competir con los países de bajos ingresos en términos de mano de obra barata ni con los países de altos ingresos en términos de tecnología y capital.
Provides a historical perspective on debt crises, which has implications for debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries.
Provides an overview of the IMF's role in debt and development, which has implications for debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries.

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