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Navigating Global Markets Amidst Superpower Brand Wars — New Rulesets for Global Business

Thomas Barnett

Geopolitical risk is consuming more and more attention across the C Suite, forcing international businesses to rethink their marketing strategies as the benefits of globalization are called into question by superpowers determined to dominate large parts of the world coming under unprecedented strains of climate change, demographic aging, and the rise of a majority global middle class. As superpowers wage their national-brand “wars” across target markets, learn how to apply your own globalization strategy to create competitive advantage across these geopolitical boundaries. Accommodate near-shoring initiatives by leveraging north-south supply chain integration to secure local markets while maintaining global brands that can access and disrupt foreign markets through business models that respect cultural differences while achieving economies of scale. Such a multi domestic strategy is essential to avoid geopolitical lock-out from different markets subject to ever increasing superpower competition among China, India, Russia, the United States, and the European Union The internationalization of these rivalries is a defining characteristic of the global economy today, meaning your enterprise’s international strategy must account for them across international markets.

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Geopolitical risk is consuming more and more attention across the C Suite, forcing international businesses to rethink their marketing strategies as the benefits of globalization are called into question by superpowers determined to dominate large parts of the world coming under unprecedented strains of climate change, demographic aging, and the rise of a majority global middle class. As superpowers wage their national-brand “wars” across target markets, learn how to apply your own globalization strategy to create competitive advantage across these geopolitical boundaries. Accommodate near-shoring initiatives by leveraging north-south supply chain integration to secure local markets while maintaining global brands that can access and disrupt foreign markets through business models that respect cultural differences while achieving economies of scale. Such a multi domestic strategy is essential to avoid geopolitical lock-out from different markets subject to ever increasing superpower competition among China, India, Russia, the United States, and the European Union The internationalization of these rivalries is a defining characteristic of the global economy today, meaning your enterprise’s international strategy must account for them across international markets.

The first week will be a quick overview of Course 1 content, emphasizing the three “inevitabilities” (exploding global middle-class consumption, harshening climate crises, accelerated demographic transitions) along with three “inconceivable” strategy adjustments (recognizing the supremacy of North-South tensions, navigating superpower brand wars, enabling North-South political integration). By modeling the world as linked networks nonetheless regionally dominated by competing superpowers, the course introduces a new map for crafting transnational strategies that multinational companies can apply across both their home countries and different countries — in effect, an updated approach to operating global companies in a world characterized by rising geopolitical risk.

In Week Two, the course explores the fundamental rules associated with operating across regions dominated by competing superpowers, emphasizing the modeling of trade-offs among competing regional approaches to economic growth (North American compared to Europe and Asia) to determine the estimated flow of value across networks. In free or decentralized markets, these rules are entirely focused on the jobs to be done, value chains to be extended, and end-consumer’s demands to be met. With regard to more centrally controlled markets, the course introduces the additional influences of single-party political rule, the state imperative for constraining “unacceptable” activity, and the additional (or decreased) transaction costs imposed by stakeholders spread across political hierarchies. Understanding that all national markets land somewhere on the centralized/decentralized spectrum, the course assesses the utility of adhering to ESG principles when accessing new markets through subsidiaries and partnerships. Here also the course emphasizes the importance of seeing the world as value chains linked across boundaries differentiated by political, economic, and social forces. The lessons will also introduce market-constraining dynamics such as minority rule and the principles of intolerant minorities, emphasizing the need for designing networks for maximum resilience in the face of periodic but inevitable state interventions (e.g. tariffs, cyber sovereignty).

in Week 3, the course explores new models of business, such as the composable enterprises in the United States and the digitally enhanced directed autonomy (DEDA) of China. These represent new ways for organizations to manage both internal and external rulesets to access new global markets. These concepts, along with other insightful template designs, will be presented alongside rulesets for NGOs and governments that improve their attractiveness as expanding networks that effectively navigate the profound world-system-altering tectonics that are climate change, demographic transitions, and a fierce superpower competition to win the allegiance and brand loyalty of that majority global middle class.

Finally, in Week 4, the course explores business strategies of how to tap into, create, or grow new networks. It will discuss the opportunity to create attractive and valuable networks at all levels, from local businesses to global interactions. This week will present integrated strategies that work generally, such as creating unions, networking to leverage access to assets and tap into latent value (just as the sharing economy has done), and how to create attractive networks.

What's inside

Learning objectives

  • To recognize the emerging regionals economic spheres of influence being created by competing superpowers
  • How those spheres generate boundary conditions — particularly in the cyber realm — that inhibit market penetration by outsiders
  • How your enterprise will need to differentiate market penetration and capture strategies among those various spheres of influence
  • How your enterprise much adjust its operations to accommodate the north’s rapid aging
  • How your enterprise must adjust its operations in response to the global south’s environmental and economic decimation as a result of climate change
  • How your enterprise must adjust its operations to account for globalization’s ongoing digitalization

Syllabus

Week 1
**** Typology of shifting global markets
Climate-advantaged v. climate-decimated markets
Super-aged v. demographically-ascendant markets
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Slowing-consumption v. increasing-consumption markets
Democratic v. authoritarian markets
Contested v. captured markets
Week 2
New rules associated with global markets
Climate mitigation v. climate adaptation
Immigration-friendly v. immigration-resistant
High consumption v. high investment
Privacy v. omniveillance
Technology-led v. technology-constrained
Week 3
New business models emerging in response to global market differentiation
Composable enterprise (Amazon, Microsoft)
Chinese-style digitally enhanced directed autonomy, or DEDA (Haier, BYD)
Pay as you go/consume/succeed (Zipcar, AWS)
Trojan-horse consumer capture in ecosystem (Apple, Huawei)
AI-driven micro-targeting of consumers (Mastercard, Under Armour)
Week 4
SWOT analysis (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) of typical global business strategies with regard to embracing v. hedging against ongoing world-system-restructuring developments
Prospector strategy (aggressive global expansion)
Defender strategy (determined hedge)
Analyzer strategy (splitting the difference)
Reactor strategy (delaying the decision)
Determining your enterprise’s best approach

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Develops awareness of the shifting global markets, climate-advantaged v. climate-decimated markets, super-aged v. demographically-ascendant markets, slowing-consumption v. increasing-consumption markets, democratic v. authoritarian markets, contested v. captured markets, and their impact on business strategies
Taught by Thomas Barnett, an expert in geopolitical risk and globalization
Provides actionable strategies for adjusting operations to accommodate the North’s rapid aging and address the Global South’s environmental and economic decimation resulting from climate change
Examines emerging business models, such as the composable enterprise and digitally enhanced directed autonomy, to help businesses navigate the changing global landscape
Contains a SWOT analysis framework to evaluate global business strategies and make informed decisions
Prerequisite knowledge in international business or economics may be beneficial

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Activities

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Career center

Learners who complete Navigating Global Markets Amidst Superpower Brand Wars — New Rulesets for Global Business will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Business Development Manager
Business Development Managers identify and develop new business opportunities for their companies. This course may be useful for aspiring Business Development Managers as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic factors that influence business development, and how to develop strategies to identify and capitalize on new business opportunities.
Nonprofit Program Manager
Nonprofit Program Managers develop and implement programs that address social and environmental issues. This course may be useful for aspiring Nonprofit Program Managers as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic factors that influence social and environmental issues, and how to develop strategies to design and implement effective programs.
Supply Chain Manager
Supply Chain Managers oversee the flow of goods and services from suppliers to customers. This course may be useful for aspiring Supply Chain Managers as it provides insights into the challenges and opportunities associated with managing supply chains in a global economy, and how to develop strategies to optimize supply chains for efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
Foreign Service Officer
Foreign Service Officers represent the United States government in foreign countries. They work to promote American interests and values, and to build relationships with foreign governments and peoples. This course may be useful for aspiring Foreign Service Officers as it provides insights into the geopolitical dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to develop strategies to represent American interests and values effectively.
Sustainability Manager
Sustainability Managers develop and implement strategies to reduce the environmental impact of their organizations. This course may be useful for aspiring Sustainability Managers as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic factors that influence environmental sustainability, and how to develop strategies to reduce the environmental impact of organizations.
International Lawyer
International Lawyers advise clients on legal issues related to international business and trade. This course may be useful for aspiring International Lawyers as it provides insights into the geopolitical and legal dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to advise clients on legal issues related to international business and trade.
Research Analyst
Research Analysts conduct research on a variety of topics, including economics, politics, and social issues. This course may be useful for aspiring Research Analysts as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to conduct research on a variety of topics.
International Business Manager
International Business Managers analyze global markets to identify opportunities for growth and oversee the development and implementation of business strategies in foreign markets. This course may be useful for aspiring International Business Managers as it provides insights into the geopolitical risks and opportunities associated with operating in different regions of the world, and how to develop strategies to mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities.
International Relations Manager
International Relations Managers develop and maintain relationships with key stakeholders in foreign countries, including government officials, business leaders, and non-profit organizations. This course may be useful for aspiring International Relations Managers as it provides insights into the geopolitical dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to develop strategies to build and maintain relationships with key stakeholders.
Global Marketing Manager
Global Marketing Managers develop and execute marketing campaigns that target consumers in multiple countries. This course may be useful for aspiring Global Marketing Managers as it provides insights into the cultural and economic differences between different regions of the world, and how to develop marketing campaigns that are effective in each region.
Development Economist
Development Economists analyze economic conditions in developing countries and design and implement policies to promote economic development. This course may be useful for aspiring Development Economists as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic dynamics of developing countries, and how to design and implement policies to promote economic development.
International Economist
International Economists analyze the economic conditions of different countries and regions. This course may be useful for aspiring International Economists as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to analyze economic data to identify trends and opportunities.
Political Risk Analyst
Political Risk Analysts assess the political risks associated with doing business in different countries. This course may be useful for aspiring Political Risk Analysts as it provides insights into the geopolitical dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to develop strategies to assess and mitigate political risks.
Global Health Manager
Global Health Managers develop and implement programs to improve health outcomes in developing countries. This course may be useful for aspiring Global Health Managers as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic factors that influence health outcomes in developing countries, and how to develop strategies to design and implement effective health programs.
International Consultant
International Consultants provide advice and support to organizations on a variety of topics, including business strategy, market entry, and risk management. This course may be useful for aspiring International Consultants as it provides insights into the geopolitical and economic dynamics of different regions of the world, and how to provide advice and support to organizations on a variety of topics.

Reading list

We've selected 26 books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Navigating Global Markets Amidst Superpower Brand Wars — New Rulesets for Global Business.
Discusses how the tension between globalization and national sovereignty creates obstacles for advancing economic development.
Provides a comprehensive and detailed collection of historical economic data from around the world. It valuable resource for researchers and scholars who are interested in the long-term trends and patterns of the global economy.
Provides a groundbreaking analysis of the economic and social factors that have led to the rise of inequality in the world today. It is essential reading for anyone who wants to understand the challenges facing the global economy.
Examines the three choices that America has for its role in the world: leading, following, or withdrawing.
Provides a fascinating and thought-provoking analysis of the factors that have led to the rise and fall of nations throughout history. It is essential reading for anyone who wants to understand the challenges and opportunities facing the global economy.
Provides a comprehensive analysis of the human development index, which measures the progress of countries in terms of health, education, and income. It valuable resource for students and researchers who are interested in understanding the global economy.
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Provides a comprehensive analysis of the global economy and its prospects. It valuable resource for students and researchers who are interested in understanding the global economy.
Provides a comprehensive collection of facts and statistics on the countries of the world. It valuable resource for students and researchers who are interested in understanding the global economy.
Provides a comprehensive collection of maps and statistics on the economies and social indicators of countries around the world. It valuable resource for students and researchers who are interested in understanding the global economy.
Provides a fascinating and comprehensive history of the Silk Road, exploring its economic, political, and cultural impact on the world. It valuable resource for understanding the history of globalization and its implications for the present day.
Provides a visually stunning and thought-provoking exploration of the role of geography in shaping global affairs. It valuable resource for understanding the geopolitical challenges and opportunities facing the world today.
Discusses the decline of American power and the rise of other countries.
Provides a concise and accessible overview of the history of globalization, from its origins in the ancient world to its present-day challenges. It valuable resource for students and general readers who are interested in understanding the global economy.
Provides a thought-provoking and insightful analysis of the future of trade in the global economy. It is essential reading for anyone who wants to understand the challenges and opportunities facing the global trading system.
Dives deep into how companies and workers adjust to globalization in the real world. This book will help clarify how economies change during globalization.
Provides a comprehensive overview of the history of warfare and its future.

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