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Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx)

Leonardo Martínez

Ce cours présente les fondements des dynamiques de la dette publique (c’est-à-dire, la façon dont elle évolue au fil du temps). Il explique la mise en application de ces concepts dans l’Outil, facile à utiliser, sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (Public Debt Dynamics Tool – DDT), qui fonctionne sur Excel. Le DDT propose des projections de la dette publique dans des scénarios de référence et alternatifs, notamment grâce à des graphiques en éventail qui représentent le degré d’incertitude quant à son évolution. Le DDT identifie également les principaux flux générateurs d’endettement publique et prend en compte les trajectoires d’ajustement budgétaire qui seraient nécessaires à l’atteinte d’un objectif défini par l’utilisateur, après une période d’ajustement, elle aussi définie par l’utilisateur.

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What's inside

Learning objectives

  • À la fin de ce cours, les participants devraient être en mesure :
  • De reconnaître les concepts clés pour la projection de la dette publique.
  • D’utiliser des calculs simples afin de projeter la dette publique.
  • D’identifier les principaux facteurs qui contribuent à l’évolution du ratio dette publique-pib.
  • De calculer des trajectoires budgétaires qui permettraient l’atteinte d’une cible de dette publique définie par l’utilisateur.
  • De produire des projections du ratio de la dette dans différents scénarios, y compris des graphiques en éventail.

Traffic lights

Read about what's good
what should give you pause
and possible dealbreakers
Develops core skills and deep expertise in debt dynamics
Grounded in established concepts and principles in economics
Provides practical Excel-based tools for immediate implementation
Instruction by Leonardo Martínez, recognised for work in debt dynamics
Suitable for both beginners and experienced economists
Prerequisites include basic familiarity with Excel and economic concepts

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Reviews summary

Public debt dynamics & excel tool

According to learners, this course is a highly practical resource for understanding and projecting public debt dynamics, particularly for professionals. The DDT Excel tool is a major strength, praised for its immediate applicability to real-world scenarios. Students found lectures clear and concise, effectively breaking down complex debt concepts. Fan charts were also noted as insightful. However, some caution it has a steep learning curve and is not for beginners, requiring a strong economic background. A few mentioned the Excel tool rigidity or desired more interactive exercises or forums. Overall, it's considered a must-take for public sector professionals.
Breaks down complex debt dynamics effectively.
"The lectures were clear, concise, and the examples highly practical."
"It breaks down complex debt concepts into digestible parts for me."
"This course demystifies debt projections and equipped me with a truly practical tool."
Invaluable for public sector work.
"This course is incredibly relevant for my work in public finance."
"As an economist, I found this course invaluable. It really helps me create robust debt sustainability analyses."
"This is a must-take for public sector professionals. The examples are global, which is a plus."
Essential for real-world debt projection analysis.
"The DDT Excel tool is a game-changer for projecting debt dynamics. I immediately applied what I learned."
"The practical application of debt projection through the DDT tool made all the difference. I highly recommend it."
"The detailed explanation of the debt dynamics equation and its implementation in the DDT tool is superb."
Some found the Excel tool rigid or clunky.
"Sometimes the Excel model feels a bit rigid for me."
"The DDT tool is powerful but I found it took some time to get used to."
"The reliance on the Excel tool without much coding background was a hurdle for me."
Some wished for more quizzes or discussion.
"I would have given 5 stars if there was more interactive support or a discussion forum for questions."
"I feel the course could benefit from more interactive quizzes or problem sets."
"I wished there were more guided exercises."
Requires strong prior economic knowledge.
"This course requires a good grasp of economic fundamentals, so it's not for absolute beginners."
"I found it quite difficult to follow... it's not for someone without a strong prior background in advanced economics."
"The content is good, but the pace can be a bit challenging if I'm not already familiar with macroeconomics."

Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx) with these activities:
Review Dynamic Equations
Refreshing your knowledge of dynamic equations will provide a strong foundation for understanding the concepts of public debt dynamics.
Browse courses on Equations of Motion
Show steps
  • Revisit basic concepts of velocity, acceleration, and force.
  • Review the equations of motion, including constant acceleration, free fall, and projectile motion.
Review Time Value of Money
Brush up on the concepts of Time Value of Money to build a strong foundation for understanding debt dynamics.
Browse courses on Time Value of Money
Show steps
  • Review the formula for present value and future value.
  • Practice calculating present and future values for different interest rates and time periods.
Excel Training: Data Analysis and Visualization
The Public Debt Dynamics Tool operates on Excel. This tutorial will ensure that you are proficient in using Excel for data analysis and visualization, which will enhance your ability to use the tool effectively.
Browse courses on Data Analysis
Show steps
  • Enroll in an online tutorial or course on Excel.
  • Practice using Excel for data analysis and visualization tasks.
  • Create charts and graphs to represent data.
Two other activities
Expand to see all activities and additional details
Show all five activities
Solve Public Debt Dynamics Problems
Solving practice problems will enhance your understanding of public debt dynamics and the factors that influence it. This will enable you to apply the concepts learned in the course more effectively.
Browse courses on Public Debt Dynamics
Show steps
  • Find practice problems from textbooks, online resources, or previous course materials.
  • Attempt to solve the problems independently.
  • Review the solutions and identify areas for improvement.
Project: Public Debt Analysis Report
This project will provide you with hands-on experience in analyzing public debt dynamics and formulating policy recommendations. It will deepen your understanding of the topic and its implications.
Browse courses on Financial Analysis
Show steps
  • Choose a country or region to analyze.
  • Collect data on public debt, economic growth, and other relevant indicators.
  • Use the Public Debt Dynamics Tool to project public debt scenarios.
  • Develop policy recommendations based on your analysis.
  • Write a report presenting your findings and recommendations.

Career center

Learners who complete Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx) will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Financial Risk Analyst
Financial Risk Analysts leverage their knowledge of financial markets, accounting principles, and statistical modeling techniques to assess the risk of financial instruments and portfolios. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial risks faced by companies and governments.
See salaries and explore the career path for Financial Risk Analyst
Quantitative Analyst
Quantitative Analysts use mathematical and statistical models to analyze financial data and make investment decisions. They may develop and use Excel-based models to perform these analyses, and this course can provide a strong foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial markets and making sound investment decisions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Quantitative Analyst
Economist
Economists use economic principles and data analysis to study the economy and make predictions about its future performance. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in economic modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the economic outlook and making sound policy decisions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Economist
Financial Analyst
Financial Analysts use financial data and analysis to make recommendations on investments. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial performance of companies and making sound investment decisions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Financial Analyst
Budget Analyst
Budget Analysts use financial data and analysis to develop and manage budgets for organizations. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial constraints and opportunities faced by organizations.
See salaries and explore the career path for Budget Analyst
Credit Analyst
Credit Analysts use financial data and analysis to assess the creditworthiness of borrowers. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the risks and rewards of lending money.
See salaries and explore the career path for Credit Analyst
Actuary
Actuaries use mathematical and statistical models to assess the financial risks faced by insurance companies and other financial institutions. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial risks faced by insurance companies and other financial institutions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Actuary
Consultant
Consultants use their knowledge of business and finance to help organizations improve their performance. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial challenges and opportunities faced by organizations.
See salaries and explore the career path for Consultant
Investment Banker
Investment Bankers use their knowledge of finance and capital markets to help companies raise money and make acquisitions. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial markets and making sound investment decisions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Investment Banker
Portfolio Manager
Portfolio Managers use their knowledge of finance and investments to manage portfolios of stocks, bonds, and other financial assets. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial markets and making sound investment decisions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Portfolio Manager
Risk Manager
Risk Managers use their knowledge of finance and risk management to identify and mitigate risks faced by organizations. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial risks faced by organizations.
See salaries and explore the career path for Risk Manager
Financial Planner
Financial Planners use their knowledge of finance and financial planning to help individuals and families manage their finances. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial challenges and opportunities faced by individuals and families.
See salaries and explore the career path for Financial Planner
Data Analyst
Data Analysts use their knowledge of data analysis and visualization to extract insights from data. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial data used by organizations to make decisions.
See salaries and explore the career path for Data Analyst
Business Analyst
Business Analysts use their knowledge of business and technology to help organizations improve their performance. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial challenges and opportunities faced by organizations.
See salaries and explore the career path for Business Analyst
Project Manager
Project Managers use their knowledge of project management to plan and execute projects. They may use tools like Excel-based models to manage their projects, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial constraints and opportunities faced by projects.
See salaries and explore the career path for Project Manager

Reading list

We've selected five books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx).
Cover image
The Great Crash 1929
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Provides a classic analysis of the Wall Street Crash of 1929. It argues that the crash was caused by a combination of factors, including the rise of speculation, the failure of regulation, and the pursuit of excessive risk by investors.
The Great Crash 1929
Paperback
$
The Great Crash 1929
Kindle Edition
$
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The End of Alchemy: Money, Banking, and the Future...
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Provides a unique perspective on the global financial crisis. It argues that the crisis was caused by a combination of factors, including the rise of shadow banking, the failure of regulation, and the pursuit of excessive risk by financial institutions.
The End of Alchemy: Money, Banking, and the Future...
Paperback
$$
The End of Alchemy: Money, Banking, and the Future...
Kindle Edition
$
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The Bankers’ New Clothes
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Argues that the global financial crisis was caused by a number of factors, including the rise of shadow banking, the failure of regulation, and the pursuit of excessive risk by financial institutions.
The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking...
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The Bankers' New Clothes: What's Wrong with Banking...
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The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking...
Kindle Edition
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The Bankers' New Clothes: What's Wrong with Banking...
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Rewriting the Rules of the European Economy: An...
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Provides a comprehensive analysis of the issue of debt relief. It argues that debt relief is necessary to help poor countries achieve sustainable economic growth.
Rewriting the Rules of the European Economy: An...
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Rewriting the Rules of the European Economy: An...
Kindle Edition
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The Deficit Myth
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Challenges the conventional wisdom on government debt. It argues that government debt is not necessarily a problem, and that it can actually be used to promote economic growth.
Deficit Myth
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(Español) El mito del déficit / The Deficit Myth (Spanish...
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The Capitalist Manifesto [Hardcover], The Deficit...
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Mindset With Muscle, The Deficit Myth, Fierce...
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The Lords of Easy Money, The Green New Deal & The...
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You Are a Badass at Making Money, The Deficit Myth,...
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The Deficit Myth, Work Rules!, Market Wizards 3...
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The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the...
Kindle Edition
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Course image
Effort
3 to 4 hours per week for 2 weeks
Level
Intermediate
Via
edX
Institution
The International Monetary Fund
Instructor
Leonardo Martínez
Language
English
Transcript
English
Traffic lights
Read about what's good
what should give you pause
and possible dealbreakers
Develops core skills and deep expertise in debt dynamics
Grounded in established concepts and principles in economics
Provides practical Excel-based tools for immediate implementation
Instruction by Leonardo Martínez, recognised for work in debt dynamics
Suitable for both beginners and experienced economists
Prerequisites include basic familiarity with Excel and economic concepts
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