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Rudolf Leuschner, Ph.D.

Have you ever wondered how companies know how much to produce in advance so that they do not make too much or too little? Matching supply and demand requires planning. This course introduces you to the exciting area of supply chain planning. Part of a broader specialization on Supply Chain Management, you will master different forecasting techniques, essential for building a Sales and Operations Plan. At the completion of this course you will have the tools and techniques to analyze demand data, construct different forecasting techniques, and choose the most suitable one for projecting future demand.

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What's inside

Syllabus

Simple Forecasting Methods, Naive Forecast and Cumulative Mean
Welcome to the exciting world of planning! This module introduces you to the professor who is teaching the courses in the Supply Chain Management Specialization. You will also construct forecasting models that enable you to predict future demand. By the end of this short module, you'll know what to expect in the course and hopefully be as excited to learn about Supply Chain Planning as I will be to teach you. In this module, learners will review two simple forecasting methods, the naive method, and the cumulative mean. Finally, you will create forecasts of your own based on a data set and provide the correct answers in the quiz.
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Forecast Accuracy and Moving Average
In this module, learners will cover two more sophisticated forecasting methods, the moving average and exponential smoothing.
Exponential Smoothing and Forecast Selection
In this module, you will master one more forecasting method - exponential smoothing. In addition, you will learn how to pick the best forecasting approach and what to do with the forecast once it is implemented.
Supply Chain Planning
In this module you will put your new forecasting skills to the test. You will analyze a real-life dataset and make recommendations on the different forecasting methods.

Good to know

Know what's good
, what to watch for
, and possible dealbreakers
Covers essential forecasting techniques needed for building a Sales and Operations Plan
Useful for professionals in supply chain management who need to analyze demand data and make informed decisions about production
Taught by Rudolf Leuschner, Ph.D., an experienced professor in supply chain management
Part of a broader specialization on Supply Chain Management, providing a comprehensive understanding of the field
Requires prior knowledge of basic statistics and forecasting concepts
Does not cover advanced forecasting techniques, such as time series analysis or machine learning

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Reviews summary

Building blocks of supply chain planning

Learners say this online course in supply chain planning focuses on the foundational skills of forecasting demand. Reviews are largely positive and mention how the crux of the course revolves around basic statistical methods to calculate future demand in supply chains. Students will find the video tutorials and screencasts very helpful for in-depth learning.
Students found the peer-reviewed assignments challenging but also appreciated the opportunity to receive feedback from their peers.
"Good course for learning and expanding your knowledge base"
"It was a good course for starting the steps with supply chain management."
"Even though it only talks about the various methods to calculate forecast it does not tell when to use which method and why to use that particular method."
"Limited forecasting key concepts and best practice, yet lots of statistical formulars and spreadsheet exercises."
Although some reviews mention the course lacks practical examples or real-world case studies, others mention how the concepts from the course can be applied to actual supply chain planning scenarios.
"This knowledge will help me to my real job life."
"Very good course for the people who wants to go deep into the subject of Supply Chain Planning."
"Supply Chain Planning has to be one of that course where theory is actually used to deal real life problems."
"Very good course for beginners who wants to go deep into the subject of Supply Chain Planning."
Students mention how the course materials come with plenty of hands-on exercises in Microsoft Excel to reinforce the concepts of forecasting and demand planning.
"It was a well-designed course and a perfect one for the people who want to pursue their career in supply change management"
"This course shows a very interesting and practical view of the supply planning process with theory and practical examples."
"The forecasting methods were taught properly and I learnt a lot of new functions."
"Very instructive course that explains four basic forecasting methods and how to measure the error of each in three different ways."
Introduces students to four core forecasting methods: naive, cumulative mean, moving average, and exponential smoothing.
"I found this course both valuable and entertaining."
"Probably my favorite course from the whole specialization."
"This is a great course to learn the basics of supply chain!"
"This is a great platform to get knowledge and relevant idea in supply chain."
Professor Rudolf Leuschner is praised for his clear and engaging explanations, making the learning process more enjoyable and understandable.
"Great mentor, Detailed with best examples."
"Excellent course! Very informative and somewhat challanging especially the forecasting section which took me some time to get around."
"Really nice lectures!"
"The explanation in the course is totally good and its taken step wise so it is really easy to get throughh with the concepts"

Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Supply Chain Planning with these activities:
Review basic statistics
Refresh your knowledge of basic statistics to ensure you have a strong foundation for the forecasting techniques covered in this course.
Browse courses on Statistics
Show steps
  • Go over your notes and textbooks from previous statistics courses.
  • Review online resources such as Khan Academy or Coursera to brush up on key concepts.
  • Take practice quizzes or mock exams to test your understanding.
Solve forecasting practice problems
Enhance your understanding of forecasting by solving practice problems and applying the techniques covered in the course.
Browse courses on Forecasting Techniques
Show steps
  • Find practice problems online or in textbooks.
  • Attempt to solve the problems using the forecasting techniques you have learned.
  • Compare your solutions with provided answers or consult with the instructor for feedback.
Develop a forecasting case study
Apply your forecasting knowledge by developing a case study that demonstrates how forecasting techniques can be used to solve real-world business problems.
Browse courses on Demand Planning
Show steps
  • Identify a business scenario that requires forecasting.
  • Collect relevant data and analyze it to understand the demand patterns.
  • Choose appropriate forecasting techniques and apply them to the data.
  • Interpret the results and make recommendations based on your analysis.
Two other activities
Expand to see all activities and additional details
Show all five activities
Explore advanced forecasting techniques
Expand your forecasting knowledge by exploring advanced techniques such as machine learning and time series forecasting.
Browse courses on Time Series Forecasting
Show steps
  • Identify online courses or tutorials that cover advanced forecasting techniques.
  • Follow the tutorials and apply the new techniques to real-world datasets.
  • Experiment with different techniques and compare their performance.
Develop a forecasting model for a real-world business
Apply your forecasting skills to a real-world business scenario by developing a forecasting model that can be used to improve demand planning and decision-making.
Browse courses on Supply Chain Optimization
Show steps
  • Identify a business partner or organization that is facing a forecasting challenge.
  • Collect data, analyze demand patterns, and choose appropriate forecasting techniques.
  • Develop and implement a forecasting model using statistical software or programming languages.
  • Monitor the model's performance and make adjustments as needed.

Career center

Learners who complete Supply Chain Planning will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:
Demand Planner
A Demand Planner determines how much product needs to be produced in a specific time frame. The course, Supply Chain Planning, will help the Demand Planner complete this core job duty by teaching different forecasting techniques to predict future demand, which is key to matching supply and demand.
Supply Chain Analyst
Supply Chain Analysts improve efficiency across the supply chain, examining everything from procurement, to manufacturing, to distribution, and logistics. This course provides foundational knowledge in supply chain planning, which will aid the Supply Chain Analyst to uncover process inefficiencies and wasted resources.
Procurement Manager
Procurement Managers source and purchase goods and services for their company or organization. The Sales and Operations Plan, created through supply chain planning, will be a key component of ensuring cost-effective procurement.
Operations Manager
Operations Managers oversee the day-to-day operations of a business. The forecasting techniques taught in Supply Chain Planning will be useful to the Operations Manager to ensure that production meets demand.
Logistician
Logisticians are responsible for planning, implementing, and controlling the efficient, effective flow and storage of goods, services, and related information between the point of origin and the point of consumption. Having a strong knowledge of forecasting demand, which is the core of supply chain planning, will be especially helpful to the Logistician.
Inventory Manager
Inventory Managers oversee the flow of inventory. Supply Chain Planning will be useful to an Inventory Manager to determine how much stock should be kept on hand, while also preventing stockouts.
Project Manager
Project Managers plan, execute, and close out projects. The supply chain planning process is essentially project management within the context of directing the flow of goods and services.
Transportation Manager
Transportation Managers oversee the movement of goods and materials. An understanding of supply chain planning will be useful to excel in this role, as transportation is an essential link in the supply chain.
Supply Chain Manager
Supply Chain Managers oversee the entire supply chain of a company or organization. Supply Chain Planning is a foundational component of supply chain management.
Purchasing Manager
Purchasing Managers are responsible for sourcing and purchasing goods and services for their organization. The Sales and Operations Plan, created through supply chain planning, will be critical to the Purchasing Manager to make informed decisions about inventory levels.
Warehouse Manager
Warehouse Managers oversee the day-to-day operations of a warehouse. This course can help build a foundation for understanding the flow of inventory through the supply chain.
Data Analyst
Data Analysts collect, clean, and analyze data to uncover trends and patterns. This course may be useful to the Data Analyst to understand forecasting techniques used in business.
Financial Analyst
Financial Analysts provide advice to businesses and individuals on financial matters. This course may be useful to understand how supply chain planning impacts a company's financial performance.
Consultant
Consultants provide advice to businesses on a variety of topics. This course may be useful to understand supply chain planning, which is a common area of consulting.
Market Research Analyst
Market Research Analysts study market trends and consumer behavior. This course may be useful to understand forecasting techniques used in market research.

Reading list

We've selected 12 books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Supply Chain Planning.
Classic in the field of supply chain management. It tells the story of a plant manager who is trying to improve the performance of his plant.
Tells the story of the development of lean production. Lean production manufacturing philosophy that focuses on reducing waste and improving efficiency.
Provides a framework for developing a good strategy. It valuable read for anyone who is interested in supply chain strategy.
Provides a framework for understanding how customers make decisions. It valuable read for anyone who is interested in supply chain marketing.
Provides a framework for building a successful startup. It valuable read for anyone who is interested in supply chain entrepreneurship.
Provides a comprehensive overview of production scheduling. It covers the different types of scheduling methods, how to create a schedule, and how to manage a schedule.

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