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Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx)

Leonardo Martínez

Ce cours présente les fondements des dynamiques de la dette publique (c’est-à-dire, la façon dont elle évolue au fil du temps). Il explique la mise en application de ces concepts dans l’Outil, facile à utiliser, sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (Public Debt Dynamics Tool – DDT), qui fonctionne sur Excel. Le DDT propose des projections de la dette publique dans des scénarios de référence et alternatifs, notamment grâce à des graphiques en éventail qui représentent le degré d’incertitude quant à son évolution. Le DDT identifie également les principaux flux générateurs d’endettement publique et prend en compte les trajectoires d’ajustement budgétaire qui seraient nécessaires à l’atteinte d’un objectif défini par l’utilisateur, après une période d’ajustement, elle aussi définie par l’utilisateur.

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What's inside

Learning objectives

À la fin de ce cours, les participants devraient être en mesure :
De reconnaître les concepts clés pour la projection de la dette publique.
D’utiliser des calculs simples afin de projeter la dette publique.

D’identifier les principaux facteurs qui contribuent à l’évolution du ratio dette publique-pib.
De calculer des trajectoires budgétaires qui permettraient l’atteinte d’une cible de dette publique définie par l’utilisateur.
De produire des projections du ratio de la dette dans différents scénarios, y compris des graphiques en éventail.

À la fin de ce cours, les participants devraient être en mesure :
De reconnaître les concepts clés pour la projection de la dette publique.
D’utiliser des calculs simples afin de projeter la dette publique.
D’identifier les principaux facteurs qui contribuent à l’évolution du ratio dette publique-pib.
De calculer des trajectoires budgétaires qui permettraient l’atteinte d’une cible de dette publique définie par l’utilisateur.
De produire des projections du ratio de la dette dans différents scénarios, y compris des graphiques en éventail.

Good to know

Know what's good

, what to watch for

, and possible dealbreakers

Develops core skills and deep expertise in debt dynamics

Grounded in established concepts and principles in economics

Provides practical Excel-based tools for immediate implementation

Instruction by Leonardo Martínez, recognised for work in debt dynamics

Suitable for both beginners and experienced economists

Prerequisites include basic familiarity with Excel and economic concepts

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Activities

Be better prepared before your course. Deepen your understanding during and after it. Supplement your coursework and achieve mastery of the topics covered in Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx) with these activities:

Review Dynamic Equations

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Refreshing your knowledge of dynamic equations will provide a strong foundation for understanding the concepts of public debt dynamics.

Browse courses on Equations of Motion

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Revisit basic concepts of velocity, acceleration, and force.
Review the equations of motion, including constant acceleration, free fall, and projectile motion.

Review Time Value of Money

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Brush up on the concepts of Time Value of Money to build a strong foundation for understanding debt dynamics.

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Review the formula for present value and future value.
Practice calculating present and future values for different interest rates and time periods.

Excel Training: Data Analysis and Visualization

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The Public Debt Dynamics Tool operates on Excel. This tutorial will ensure that you are proficient in using Excel for data analysis and visualization, which will enhance your ability to use the tool effectively.

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Enroll in an online tutorial or course on Excel.
Practice using Excel for data analysis and visualization tasks.
Create charts and graphs to represent data.

Two other activities

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Solve Public Debt Dynamics Problems

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Solving practice problems will enhance your understanding of public debt dynamics and the factors that influence it. This will enable you to apply the concepts learned in the course more effectively.

Browse courses on Public Debt Dynamics

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Find practice problems from textbooks, online resources, or previous course materials.
Attempt to solve the problems independently.
Review the solutions and identify areas for improvement.

Project: Public Debt Analysis Report

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This project will provide you with hands-on experience in analyzing public debt dynamics and formulating policy recommendations. It will deepen your understanding of the topic and its implications.

Browse courses on Financial Analysis

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Choose a country or region to analyze.
Collect data on public debt, economic growth, and other relevant indicators.
Use the Public Debt Dynamics Tool to project public debt scenarios.
Develop policy recommendations based on your analysis.
Write a report presenting your findings and recommendations.

Career center

Learners who complete Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx) will develop knowledge and skills that may be useful to these careers:

Project Manager

Project Managers use their knowledge of project management to plan and execute projects. They may use tools like Excel-based models to manage their projects, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial constraints and opportunities faced by projects.

See salaries and explore the career path for Project Manager

Business Analyst

Business Analysts use their knowledge of business and technology to help organizations improve their performance. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial challenges and opportunities faced by organizations.

See salaries and explore the career path for Business Analyst

Data Analyst

Data Analysts use their knowledge of data analysis and visualization to extract insights from data. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial data used by organizations to make decisions.

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Financial Analyst

Financial Analysts use financial data and analysis to make recommendations on investments. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial performance of companies and making sound investment decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Financial Analyst

Consultant

Consultants use their knowledge of business and finance to help organizations improve their performance. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial challenges and opportunities faced by organizations.

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Quantitative Analyst

Quantitative Analysts use mathematical and statistical models to analyze financial data and make investment decisions. They may develop and use Excel-based models to perform these analyses, and this course can provide a strong foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial markets and making sound investment decisions.

See salaries and explore the career path for Quantitative Analyst

Actuary

Actuaries use mathematical and statistical models to assess the financial risks faced by insurance companies and other financial institutions. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial risks faced by insurance companies and other financial institutions.

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Investment Banker

Investment Bankers use their knowledge of finance and capital markets to help companies raise money and make acquisitions. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial markets and making sound investment decisions.

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Portfolio Manager

Portfolio Managers use their knowledge of finance and investments to manage portfolios of stocks, bonds, and other financial assets. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial markets and making sound investment decisions.

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Risk Manager

Risk Managers use their knowledge of finance and risk management to identify and mitigate risks faced by organizations. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial risks faced by organizations.

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Financial Planner

Financial Planners use their knowledge of finance and financial planning to help individuals and families manage their finances. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct their analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial challenges and opportunities faced by individuals and families.

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Credit Analyst

Credit Analysts use financial data and analysis to assess the creditworthiness of borrowers. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the risks and rewards of lending money.

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Economist

Economists use economic principles and data analysis to study the economy and make predictions about its future performance. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in economic modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the economic outlook and making sound policy decisions.

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Budget Analyst

Budget Analysts use financial data and analysis to develop and manage budgets for organizations. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial constraints and opportunities faced by organizations.

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Financial Risk Analyst

Financial Risk Analysts leverage their knowledge of financial markets, accounting principles, and statistical modeling techniques to assess the risk of financial instruments and portfolios. They may use tools like Excel-based models to conduct these analyses, and this course can provide a foundation in financial modeling and quantitative analysis that is essential for success in this role. The course also covers topics such as debt dynamics and budgeting, which are critical for understanding the financial risks faced by companies and governments.

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Reading list

We've selected ten books that we think will supplement your learning. Use these to develop background knowledge, enrich your coursework, and gain a deeper understanding of the topics covered in Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx).

Too Big to Fail

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Provides a detailed account of the global financial crisis. It tells the story of the key players who were involved in the crisis, and it examines the decisions that they made that led to the crisis.

Projeter la dette publique – L’Outil sur les dynamiques de la dette publique (DDtx)

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Learning objectives

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Activities

Career center

Reading list

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